Detroit Tigers vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction MLB Picks 7/6/24

David Racey

1 year ago

Cincinnati Reds (42-46) vs Detroit Tigers (40-48)

Game Info: Saturday, July 6, 2024 at 4:10 pm (Great American Ball Park)

The Line: Betting Odds: Cincinnati Reds / Detroit Tigers — Over/Under:

In this article we will formulate a Detroit Tigers vs Cincinnati Reds prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, July 6th at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, Ohio. To formulate this prediction for game two in the series, we will examine:

The Tigers recent form and recent player performance
The Reds recent form and recent play performance
Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Detroit
Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Cincinnati
Recent betting trends in games played between Detroit and Cincinnati
A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between Detroit and Cincinnati

Tigers Showing Some Improvement

The Detroit Tigers are 40-48 this year and they have won three of their last five games. Detroit won the first game in this series by a score of 5-4 on Friday night. Prior to this series, the Tigers lost two out of three against the Twins, lost three out of four against the Angels, and lost two out of three against the Phillies. Detroit is just 3-6 in their last nine games and they are fourth in the AL Central.

The Detroit pitching staff has a 4.00 ERA, a 1.23 WHIP, and a .245 opponent batting average. The Tigers offense has scored 361 runs with a .229 batting average and a .293 on base percentage. Riley Greene is batting .266 with 17 home runs and 44 RBI’s for the Tigers this season. Detroit has scored at least five runs in four of their last six games.

Reds Nearly Completed the Come Back

The Cincinnati Reds are 42-46 this season and they have won three of their last four games. Cincinnati dropped the first game in this series, but they scored two runs in the ninth inning and nearly tied the game. Prior to this series, the Reds swept the Yankees, split four games with the Cardinals, and lost two out of three against the Pirates. Cincinnati is 5-3 in their last eight games and they are fourth in the NL Central.

The Cincinnati pitching staff has a 3.85 ERA, a 1.24 WHIP, and a .234 opponent batting average. The Reds offense has scored 378 runs with a .227 batting average and a .303 on base percentage. Elly De La Cruz is batting .253 with 15 home runs and 39 RBI’s for the Reds this season. Cincinnati has scored at least four runs in four of their last six games.

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Detroit has not been announced yet. The projected starting pitcher for Cincinnati is Hunter Greene, who is 5-4 with a 3.70 ERA and a 1.17 WHIP over 97.1 innings pitched this year. Greene has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last four starts.

Why the Reds will beat the Tigers

The Tigers have lost each of their last six day games following a road win.
The Reds have won four of their last five games at Great American Ball Park against American League opponents that held a losing record.
The Tigers have failed to cover the run line in 12 of their last 13 games following a win.
The Reds have covered the run line in four of their last five home games against American League opponents that held a losing record.

Total Runs Facts

Five of the Tigers’ last six games against NL Central opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
Three of the Reds’ last four day games against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Reds’ last five day games.
The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Tigers’ last four day games.

Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts

Jonathan India has recorded at least one Double in four of the Reds’ last five games at Great American Ball Park.
Hunter Greene has recorded seven or more strikeouts in six of his last eight appearances in day games against teams that held a losing record.
Spencer Steer has hit a home run in each of the Reds’ last two games against the Tigers.
TJ Friedl has recorded at least one total base in each of his last nine appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
TJ Friedl has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last five appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
Jonathan India has recorded at least one hit in each of his nine previous home appearances against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
TJ Friedl has recorded at least one Single in each of his last six appearances against AL Central opponents at Great American Ball Park.
Jonathan India has scored at least one run in each of his last seven appearances at Great American Ball Park against AL opponents that held a losing record.

Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts

Matt Vierling has hit a home run in three of the Tigers’ last four games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
Javier Baez has recorded at least one total base in each of his last eight road appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
Javier Baez has recorded at least one RBI in seven of his last eight road appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
Javier Baez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight road appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
Andy Ibanez has recorded at least one Single in each of his last six appearances against NL opponents.
Matt Vierling has scored at least one run in each of the Tigers’ last four road games against NL Central opponents.
Mark Canha has recorded a Double in three of his last four road appearances against NL Central opponents.