| MATCHUP | Detroit Tigers | Cincinnati Reds |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 14-14 | 18-9 |
| Spread | -1.5 144 | +1.5 -174 |
| Moneyline | -108 | -112 |
| Total | Over 9 (-108) | Under 9 (-112) |
| Where | Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati, Ohio | |
| When | Sunday, April 26, 2026 | |
| Time | 01:40 PM EDT | |
| TV | MLB.TV | |
In this article, we will formulate a Tigers vs Reds Prediction for this MLB matchup on Sunday, April 26th in the third game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Cincinnati Reds Preview
The Cincinnati Reds have a 18-9 record this season and are sitting in the first place of the NL Central. They have an 8-6 home record and are coming off a 9-2 home win against the Tigers. Their previous three games were a 9-8 home win against the Tigers, a 1-6 loss and a 12-6 win on the road against the Rays.
The Reds have a .213 batting average this season, .309 OBP and .373 Slugging percentage. Cincinnati’s pitching staff has a 3.69 ERA and 1.38 WHIP. Sal Stewart is the team’s best hitter with a .303 batting average, also leading the team in RBI with 29. Elly De La Cruz adds a team‑high 9 home runs.
Rhett Lowder (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Reds, and he has a 3-1 record, 3.10 ERA and 1.14 WHIP.
Detroit Tigers Preview
The Detroit Tigers have a 14-14 record this season and are sitting in the second place of the AL Central. They have a 4-12 away record and are coming off a 2-9 road loss against the Reds. Their previous three games were an 8-9 road loss against the Reds, a 5-4 win and a 5-2 win at home against the Brewers.
The Tigers have a .250 batting average this season, .331 OBP and .406 Slugging percentage. Detroit’s pitching staff has a 3.99 ERA and 1.35 WHIP. Kevin McGonigle is the team’s best hitter with a .333 batting average. Dillon Dingler leads the team in RBI with 19, and Kerry Carpenter adds a team‑high 6 home runs.
Keider Montero (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Tigers, and he has a 1-2 record, 3.68 ERA and 0.91 WHIP.
Detroit Tigers @ Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends: April 26, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Rhett Lowder Record this season: 3-1 ERA: 3.10
- Home Record: 1-0
- Last 5 against Tigers: –
Why the Cincinnati Reds will win
- The Tigers have lost each of their last six road games against National League opponents.
- The Reds have won nine of their last 10 games against AL Central opponents.
- The Tigers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six road games against National League opponents.
- The Reds have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games.
- The Tigers have trailed after 5 innings in seven of their last eight games as underdogs against NL Central opponents.
- The Reds have won the first inning in three of their last four games as favorites against American League opponents.
- The Tigers have trailed after 3 innings in seven of their last eight games as underdogs against NL Central opponents.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Keider Montero Record this season: 1-2 ERA: 3.68
- Road Record: 0-0
- Last 5 against Reds: 1-0
Why the Detroit Tigers will win
- The underdogs have won each of the last four games between the Tigers and Reds.
- The Reds have lost each of their last four games as home favorites against the Tigers following a win.
- The Reds have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight day games against AL Central opponents following a home win.
- The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the Reds’ last five games at Great American Ball Park.
- The Tigers have won the first inning in each of their last four day games against opponents that held a winning record.
- The Tigers have led after 3 innings in each of their last four day games against opponents that held a winning record.
- The Tigers have led after 5 innings in each of their last six day games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Reds’ last seven games as favorites against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Each of the Tigers’ last four road games have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 12 of the Reds’ last 13 games as home favorites.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in nine of the Tigers’ last 10 games as road underdogs against NL Central opponents.
Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts
- Elly De La Cruz has hit a home run in four of the Reds’ last five games against the Tigers.
- TJ Friedl has recorded at least one hit in each of the Reds’ last six games as favorites against AL Central opponents.
Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts
- Spencer Torkelson has hit a home run in each of the Tigers’ last four games.
- Spencer Torkelson has recorded at least one hit in each of the Tigers’ last 10 games against NL opponents.
Tigers vs Reds Prediction
The Reds have won their last four meetings against the Tigers but they are 2-3 in their last 5 meetings in Cincinnati. Their last five meetings have gone over the total.
In this Tigers vs Reds Prediction, both teams are coming at a pickem price. The Reds are 6-2 in their last 8 games while the Tigers are 4-12 on the road this season and with both pitchers relatively even, I lean towards the Reds, who also have the best bullpen currently in baseball. Montero has seven earned runs in his last two starts and has been weaker on the road, so take the Reds on the moneyline at home in this one.