| MATCHUP | Detroit Tigers | Cincinnati Reds |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 14-12 | 16-9 |
| Where | Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati, Ohio | |
| When | Friday, April 24, 2026 | |
| Time | 06:40 PM EDT | |
| TV | MLB.TV | |
In this article, we will formulate a Tigers vs Reds Prediction for this MLB matchup on Friday, April 25th in the opening game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Cincinnati Reds Preview
The Cincinnati Reds have a 16-9 record this season and are sitting in the first place of the NL Central. They have a 6-6 home record and are coming off a 1-6 home loss against the Rays. Their previous three games were a 12-6 and a 6-1 road win against the Rays, and a 7-4 road win against the Twins.
The Reds have a .205 batting average this season, .299 OBP and .344 Slugging percentage. Cincinnati’s pitching staff has a 3.58 ERA and 1.36 WHIP. Sal Stewart is the team’s best hitter with a .297 batting average, also leading the team in RBI with 24. Elly De La Cruz adds a team‑high 8 home runs.
Andrew Abbott (L) is the projected starting pitcher for the Reds, and he has a 0-2 record, 5.84 ERA and 1.74 WHIP.
Detroit Tigers Preview
The Detroit Tigers have a 14-12 record this season and are sitting in the first place of the AL Central. They have a 4-10 away record and are coming off a 5-4 home win against the Brewers. Their previous three games were a 5-2 home win and a 4-12 home loss against the Brewers, and a 6-8 road loss against the Red Sox.
The Tigers have a .246 batting average this season, .327 OBP and .390 Slugging percentage. Detroit’s pitching staff has a 3.65 ERA and 1.30 WHIP. Kevin McGonigle is the team’s best hitter with a .319 batting average. Dillon Dingler leads the team in RBI with 19, and Kerry Carpenter adds a team‑high 5 home runs.
Framber Valdez (L) is the projected starting pitcher for the Tigers, and he has a 2-1 record, 3.30 ERA and 1.20 WHIP.
Detroit Tigers @ Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends: April 24, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Andrew Abbott Record this season: 0-2 ERA: 5.84
- Home Record: 0-2
- Last 5 against Tigers: –
Why the Cincinnati Reds will win
- The Reds have won 10 of their last 11 games as underdogs against AL Central opponents.
- The Tigers have lost each of their last four games as road favorites following a win.
- The Reds have covered the run line in 10 of their last 11 games as underdogs against AL Central opponents.
- The Tigers have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight road games against NL Central opponents.
- The Tigers have trailed after 3 innings in six of their last seven night games against NL Central opponents.
- The Reds have led after 5 innings in each of their last five night games.
- The Reds have won the first inning in three of their last four night games.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Framber Valdez Record this season: 2-1 ERA: 3.30
- Road Record: 1-1
- Last 5 against Reds: –
Why the Detroit Tigers will win
- The Reds have lost each of their last seven home games following a road loss.
- The Tigers have won seven of their last eight road games against the Reds.
- The Reds have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven home games following a road loss.
- The Tigers have covered the run line in seven of their last eight road games against the Reds.
- The Tigers have led after 3 innings in four of their last five road games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
- The Tigers have led after 5 innings in each of their last eight Friday games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
Total Runs Facts
- Eight of the Reds’ last nine games as underdogs against AL Central opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Four of the Tigers’ last five games have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Tigers’ last seven games at Great American Ball Park.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Reds’ last eight night games at Great American Ball Park.
Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts
- Elly De La Cruz has hit a home run in each of the Reds’ last three games against the Tigers.
- Elly De La Cruz has recorded at least one hit in each of the Reds’ last nine games as underdogs against AL Central opponents.
- Sal Stewart ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.615) this season.
Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts
- Spencer Torkelson has hit a home run in each of the Tigers’ last two games.
- Framber Valdez has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last seven Friday appearances in night games with his team as a favorite.
- Spencer Torkelson has recorded a hit in each of the Tigers’ last eight games against NL opponents.
- Framber Valdez has recorded a win in each of his five previous appearances against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- Kevin McGonigle ranks T10th in the league in Hits (30) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Reds rank 30th in the league for hits this season (169).
- The Reds rank 30th in the league for batting average this season (.205).
- The Tigers rank 1st in the league for home runs allowed this season (13).
- The Tigers rank T2nd in the league for doubles this season (51).
Tigers vs Reds Prediction
The Tigers are 5-2 in their last 7 meetings against the Reds and have won their last four visits in Cincinnati.
In this Tigers vs Reds Prediction, the Tigers are coming as -135 road favorites. The Tigers have not been good on the road and are just 2-2 in their last four games, while the Reds are 5-1 in their last 6, but the Reds are putting the struggling Andrew Abbott on the mound, who goes up the red-hot Framber Valdez. Abbott has 10 earned runs in his last two starts, while on the flip side, Valdez has just two earned runs in his last two starts. Cincinnati ranks 25th in runs per game and is even weaker against lefties, so I like the Tigers to get the job done on the road for a short price.