St. Louis Cardinals (41-39) vs Cincinnati Reds (38-43)
Game Info: Sunday, June 30, 2024 at 2:15 pm (Busch Stadium)
The Line: Betting Odds: St. Louis Cardinals -101 / Cincinnati Reds -118 — Over/Under:
The Cincinnati Reds and the St. Louis Cardinals meet Sunday in MLB action from Busch Stadium. Here’s a Cincinnati Reds vs St. Louis Cardinals prediction. This will be the final installment in a four-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for the game. We will examine:
The Cincinnati Reds recent form and player performance
The St. Louis Cardinals recent form and player performance
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Cincinnati Reds
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the St. Louis Cardinals
Recent betting trends in games played between the Reds and Cardinals
A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Reds vs Cardinals game
Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview
This week, the Reds took on the Pittsburgh Pirates. Cincinnati opened with an 11-5 win before taking losses 9-5 and 6-1 to drop the series. The Reds came back with an 11-4 win over the Cardinals, then lost 1-0 Friday. In game three Saturday Cincinnati posted six runs in the fifth on the way to a 9-4 win. Carson Spiers lasted 6.0 innings in the start with one earned run.
In the starter slot for the Sunday finale the Reds are going with Hunter Greene. This year Greene is 5-3 with a 3.79 ERA in 16 starts. Greene is 14-23 over his MLB career with a 4.39 ERA in 62 starts.
St. Louis Cardinals Betting Preview
Over on the Cardinals’ side, they played the Atlanta Braves in their early-week series. St. Louis lost 6-2 Wednesday but took the other two games 4-3 and 4-1 for a series win. On Saturday the Cardinals were out-hit 13-8 in a tough loss. Starter Sonny Gray gave up three earned in 4.1 innings as the starting pitcher.
Lance Lynn will take the starter duties for the Sunday finale. This season Lynn is 3-3 with a 3.86 ERA in 16 starts. Lynn has a career record of 139-98 with a 3.74 ERA in 357 games (333 starts). The Cardinals will meet the Pirates and Nationals after this series.
Reds vs Cardinals Pick Injury Notes
Reds 3B Jeimer Candelario (hamstring) was out of the lineup for Saturday’s game.
Cardinals SP Steven Matz (back) suffered a setback recently and will be shut down from throwing for the next two weeks.
Total Runs Facts
- Eight of the Cardinals’ last nine day games against NL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Six of the Reds’ last seven day games against NL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Cardinals’ last six day games against NL Central opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Reds’ last three day games against National League opponents.
St. Louis Cardinals Player Prop Facts
- Willson Contreras has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances with his team as an underdog against the Reds.
- Brandon Crawford has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances in day games.
- Lance Lynn has recorded a win in eight of his last nine appearances against the Reds at Busch Stadium.
- Brandon Crawford has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last three appearances with his team as an underdog against the Reds.
- Willson Contreras has recorded a Single in each of his last six appearances against NL Central opponents.
- Willson Contreras has scored at least one run in nine of his last 10 home appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
- Nolan Arenado has recorded at least one total base in each of his last seven appearances in day games.
- Lance Lynn has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last eight appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
- Nolan Arenado has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven appearances in day games.
Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts
- Elly De La Cruz has scored at least one run in eight of the Reds’ last nine games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- Elly De La Cruz has recorded at least one RBI in seven of the Reds’ last eight games against the Cardinals at Busch Stadium.
- Jake Fraley has recorded a Single in seven of his last eight appearances with the Reds as favorites against NL opponents.
- Jeimer Candelario has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 11 appearances with his team as a road favorite.
- Jeimer Candelario has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances with his team as a road favorite.
- Jeimer Candelario has hit a home run in three of his last five appearances with his team as a road favorite against NL Central opponents.
- Jonathan India has recorded at least one Double in each of the Reds’ last six games against NL opponents.
Cincinnati Reds vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction
I’ll take a stab on the Reds but I could probably go either way. Greene is coming off a bad start versus the Pirates with 4.0 innings and six earned in a loss. Prior to that Greene had just two earned in 11.1 innings over two starts, though. As for Lynn, he’s got nine earned over his last 16.1 innings total.
On Saturday the Reds got two RBI from three different players. It was a great day for the offense. Cincinnati did have three errors though, so they need to clean up the miscues in the finale.