| MATCHUP | Cincinnati Reds | St. Louis Cardinals |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 48-54 | 52-51 |
| Spread | -1.5 166 | +1.5 -203 |
| Moneyline | -101 | -120 |
| Total | Over 8.5 (-102) | Under 8.5 (-118) |
| Where | Busch Stadium, St. Louis, Missouri | |
| When | Saturday, July 25, 2026 | |
| Time | 07:15 PM EDT | |
| TV | MLB.TV | |
St. Louis Cardinals Preview
The St. Louis Cardinals have a 52-51 record this season and are sitting in the 4th place of the NL Central. They have a 26-28 home record and are coming off a 2-4 home loss against the Reds. They will face the Cubs and the Blue Jays next.
The St. Louis Cardinals have a .240 batting average this season, .316 OBP and .382 Slugging percentage. St. Louis’s pitching staff has a 4.17 ERA and 1.34 WHIP. Jordan Walker is the team’s best hitter with a .288 batting average, leads the team in RBI with 77, and adds a team-high 22 home runs.
Andre Pallante (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the St. Louis Cardinals, and he has a 10-6 record, 4.02 ERA and 1.26 WHIP.
Cincinnati Reds Preview
The Cincinnati Reds have a 48-54 record this season and are sitting in the 5th place of the NL Central. They have a 26-26 away record and are coming off a 4-2 road win against the Cardinals. They will face the Guardians and the Pirates next.
The Cincinnati Reds have a .230 batting average this season, .309 OBP and .400 Slugging percentage. Cincinnati’s pitching staff has a 4.53 ERA and 1.43 WHIP. Elly De La Cruz is the team’s best hitter with a .276 batting average. Sal Stewart leads the team in RBI with 75, adding a team-high 21 home runs.
Hunter Greene (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Cincinnati Reds, and he has a 2-1 record, 6.06 ERA and 1.16 WHIP.
Cincinnati Reds @ St. Louis Cardinals Betting Trends: July 25, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Andre Pallante Record this season: 10-6 ERA: 4.02
- Home Record: 4-6
- Last 5 against Reds: 2-3
Why the St. Louis Cardinals will win
- The Reds have lost each of their last six Saturday night games at Busch Stadium.
- The home team has won four of the last five games between the Reds and Cardinals.
- The Cardinals have covered the run line in four of their last five games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
- The Reds have failed to cover the run line in three of their last four games against the Cardinals following a win.
- The Cardinals have led after 3 innings in three of their last four games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
- The Cardinals have led after 5 innings in each of their last four night games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
- The Cardinals have won the first inning in three of their last four home games.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Hunter Greene Record this season: 2-1 ERA: 6.06
- Road Record: 1-0
- Last 5 against Cardinals: 2-2
Why the Cincinnati Reds will win
- The Cardinals have lost each of their last four games as favorites.
- The Reds have won five of their last six games as road underdogs.
- The Cardinals have failed to cover the run line in 13 of their last 14 games as favorites after playing the previous day.
- The Reds have covered the run line in eight of their last nine games as underdogs against the Cardinals following a win.
- The Reds have led after 5 innings in each of their last six Saturday night games as road underdogs.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Reds’ last six night games against NL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Each of the Cardinals’ last five night games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in seven of the Reds’ last eight road games against National League opponents.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Cardinals’ last four games as favorites against NL Central opponents.
St. Louis Cardinals Player Prop Facts
- Alec Burleson has hit a home run in three of the Cardinals’ last four games against NL opponents that held a losing record.
- Andre Pallante has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances with the Cardinals as favorites.
- Andre Pallante has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last five appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
- Jordan Walker has recorded at least one hit in each of the Cardinals’ last eight Saturday games as favorites.
- Jordan Walker ranks T8th in the league in Hits (112) this season.
Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts
- Eugenio Suarez has hit a home run in each of the Reds’ last four games against opponents that held a winning record.
- Hunter Greene has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
- Hunter Greene has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances against NL Central opponents.
- Tyler Stephenson has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 16 road appearances against NL opponents.
- Elly De La Cruz is one of only seven players to record 10+ Home Runs and 4+ Triples this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Cardinals rank T2nd in the league for home runs allowed this season (102).
- The Cardinals rank T2nd in the league for home runs allowed this season (102).
- The Reds rank 29th in the league for hits this season (788).
- The Reds rank 29th in the league for hits this season (788).
Reds vs Cardinals Prediction
The Cardinals are 3-1 in their last 4 meetings against the Reds and are 3-1 in their last 4 meetings in Cincinnati.
In this Reds vs Cardinals Prediction, the Cardinals are coming as -120 home favorites. I don’t like the pitching in this matchup, as both pitchers have a combined 10.08 ERA and Pallante has been in poor form with a 5.71 ERA across his last three starts and much weaker at home with a 4.99 ERA. Both bullpens have been the third and fourth-worse in baseball after the break, so I’m expecting runs in this game. Take the over 8 in this one.