| MATCHUP | Cincinnati Reds | Milwaukee Brewers |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 69-79 | 93-56 |
| Spread | +1.5 -126 | -1.5 105 |
| Moneyline | +169 | -206 |
| Total | Over 8 (-115) | Under 8 (-105) |
| Where | American Family Field, Milwaukee, Wisconsin | |
| When | Sunday, September 13, 2026 | |
| Time | 02:10 PM EDT | |
| TV | MLB.TV | |
Milwaukee Brewers Preview
The Milwaukee Brewers have a 93-56 record this season and are sitting in the 1st place of the NL Central. They have a 52-25 home record and are coming off a 13-9 home win against the Reds. They will face the Pirates and the Orioles next.
The Milwaukee Brewers have a .260 batting average this season, .342 OBP and .406 Slugging percentage. Milwaukee’s pitching staff has a 3.57 ERA and 1.19 WHIP. Jackson Chourio is the team’s best hitter with a .295 batting average. Brice Turang leads the team in RBI with 92, while Jake Bauers adds a team-high 25 home runs.
Robert Gasser (L) is the projected starting pitcher for the Brewers, and he has a 4-5 record, 4.43 ERA and 1.28 WHIP.
Cincinnati Reds Preview
The Cincinnati Reds have a 69-79 record this season and are sitting in the 5th place of the NL Central. They have a 33-41 away record and are coming off a 9-13 road loss against the Brewers. They will face the Dodgers and the Cubs next.
The Cincinnati Reds have a .230 batting average this season, .308 OBP and .397 Slugging percentage. Cincinnati’s pitching staff has a 4.90 ERA and 1.45 WHIP. Elly De La Cruz is the team’s best hitter with a .283 batting average. Sal Stewart leads the team in RBI with 107, adding a team-high 31 home runs.
Chase Burns (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Reds, and he has a 15-3 record, 2.73 ERA and 1.14 WHIP.
Cincinnati Reds @ Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends: September 13, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Robert Gasser Record this season: 4-5 ERA: 4.43
- Home Record: 1-2
- Last 5 against Reds: 0-1
Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win
- The Brewers have won each of their last eight home games against NL Central opponents.
- The Reds have lost each of their last five games.
- The home team has covered the run line in each of the last four games between the Reds and Brewers.
- The Reds have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven games at American Family Field.
- The Reds have trailed after 5 innings in 10 of their last 11 road games.
- The Reds have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last seven road games against NL Central opponents.
- The Brewers have won the first inning in each of their last six home games against opponents that held a losing record.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Chase Burns Record this season: 15-3 ERA: 2.73
- Road Record: 7-2
- Last 5 against Brewers: 1-0
Why the Cincinnati Reds will win
- The Reds have won each of their last four day games against the Brewers following a loss.
- The Brewers have lost four of their last five day games against the Reds following a win.
- The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six day games against the Reds following a home win.
- The Reds have covered the run line in seven of their last eight day games at American Family Field following a loss.
- The Brewers have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five day games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
- The Brewers have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five day games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
Total Runs Facts
- Nine of the Reds’ last 10 games against NL Central opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Five of the last six games between the Reds and Brewers have gone OVER the total runs line.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the last nine games between the Reds and Brewers.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Reds’ last nine games against NL Central opponents.
Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts
- William Contreras has hit a home run in four of his last five appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
- Robert Gasser has recorded five or more strikeouts in five of his last six appearances with the Brewers as favorites against NL opponents.
- Brice Turang has recorded at least one hit in each of the Brewers’ last 13 home games against the Reds.
- Jake Bauers ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.395) this season.
Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts
- Juan Brito has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances after playing the previous day.
- Chase Burns has recorded four or more strikeouts in each of his last 14 road appearances.
- Sal Stewart has recorded at least one hit in each of the Reds’ last 26 games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- Chase Burns has recorded a win in five of his last six appearances with the Reds as underdogs.
- Chase Burns ranks T3rd in the league for Wins (15) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Brewers rank 1st in the league for hits this season (1317).
- The Brewers rank 1st in the league for on-base percentage this season (.342).
- The Reds rank 30th in the league for hits this season (1133).
- The Reds rank 30th in the league for batting average this season (.230).
Reds vs Brewers Prediction
The Brewers are 7-3 in their last 10 meetings against the Reds and are 5-1 in their last 6 meetings in Milwaukee.
In this Reds vs Brewers Prediction, the Brewers are coming as -200 home favorites. The Brewers have been dominating the Reds in this series, having won both games with a combined 33-9 score, but they are huge -200 favorites when they have a clear pitching disadvantage. Burns is the far better option than Gasser and the Reds won his previous start against the Brewers this season. Take the Reds by +1.5 in this one.