Miami Marlins (43-72) vs Cincinnati Reds (55-59)
Game Info: Thursday, August 8, 2024 at 6:10 pm (loanDepot park)
The Line: Betting Odds: Miami Marlins +165 / Cincinnati Reds -200 — Over/Under: 7.5
In this article we will formulate a Cincinnati Reds vs Miami Marlins prediction for this MLB game on Thursday, August 8th at loanDepot park in Miami, Florida. To formulate this prediction for game four in the series, we will examine:
- The Reds recent form and recent player performance
- The Marlins recent form and recent play performance
- Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Cincinnati
- Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Miami
- Recent betting trends in games played between Cincinnati and Miami
- A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between Cincinnati and Miami
Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview
The Cincinnati Reds are 55-59 this year and they have won three of their last five games. Cincinnati won the first two games in this series by scores of 10-3 and 8-2, but they did drop game three. Prior to this series, the Reds lost two out of three against the Giants, won two out of three against the Cubs, and lost two out of three against the Rays. Cincinnati is 5-4 in their last nine games and they are last in the NL Central.
The Cincinnati pitching staff has a 3.91 ERA, a 1.25 WHIP, and a .237 opponent batting average. The Reds offense has scored 507 runs with a .230 batting average and a .304 on base percentage. Elly De La Cruz is batting .265 with 20 home runs and 50 RBI’s for the Reds this season.
Miami Marlins Betting Preview
The Miami Marlins are 43-72 this season and they have won three of their last five games. Miami lost the first two games in this series, but they did win game three by a score of 6-4. Prior to this series, the Marlins split four games with the Braves, split two games with the Rays, and won two out of three against the Brewers. Miami is 4-6 in their last ten games and they are last in the NL East.
The Miami pitching staff has a 4.52 ERA, a 1.37 WHIP, and a .255 opponent batting average. The Marlins offense has scored 419 runs with a .238 batting average and a .292 on base percentage. Jake Burger is batting .239 with 19 home runs and 49 RBI’s for the Marlins this season.
Starting Pitchers
The projected starting pitcher for Cincinnati is Hunter Greene, who is 8-4 with a 2.83 ERA and a 1.02 WHIP over 130.1 innings pitched this year. Greene has allowed zero earned runs in his last three starts (20 IP). The projected starting pitcher for Miami is Kyle Tyler, who is 0-2 with a 5.27 ERA and a 1.76 WHIP over 27.1 innings pitched this season. Tyler has allowed three earned runs or more in three straight starts.
Why the Reds will beat the Marlins
- The Reds have won eight of their last nine night games against the Marlins following a loss.
- The Marlins have lost seven of their last eight night games against NL Central opponents following a home win.
- The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in 14 of their last 15 night games against NL Central opponents following a home win.
- The Reds have covered the run line in eight of their last nine night games against the Marlins following a loss.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Marlins’ last seven home games have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Seven of the Reds’ last eight night games against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Marlins’ last five Thursday games.
Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts
- Cristian Pache has recorded a Single in three of his last four appearances against NL Central opponents.
- Jake Burger has recorded two or more total bases in five of his last seven appearances against the Reds.
- Jake Burger has hit at least one home run in three of the Marlins’ last five night games.
- Jesus Sanchez has scored at least one run in each of the Marlins’ last five games against NL Central opponents at LoanDepot Park.
- Jesus Sanchez has recorded at least one hit in each of the Marlins’ last six Thursday games against opponents that held a losing record.
Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts
- TJ Friedl has recorded at least one RBI in five of his six previous appearances against the Marlins after playing the previous day.
- Santiago Espinal has recorded at least one Single in nine of his last 10 appearances.
- Elly De La Cruz has recorded at least one Double in four of the Reds’ last five games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
- Jake Fraley has recorded at least one total base in each of his last eight road appearances against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
- Hunter Greene has recorded a win in each of his last three appearances against NL opponents.
- Tyler Stephenson has scored at least one run in each of the Reds’ last four night games.
- Ty France has hit a home run in two of the Reds’ last three games against the Marlins.
- Jake Fraley has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight road appearances against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
Cincinnati Reds vs Miami Marlins Prediction
Cincinnati was able to pick up two wins to start the series, but they dropped game three and need to win this game to win the series. The Reds are 27-28 on the road, while the Marlins are 23-36 at home. Miami has been one of the lowest scoring teams in the MLB this season and they have to face Hunter Greene, who has been dominant in his last three outings. I expect Greene to have another great outing against this below average lineup and my Cincinnati Reds vs Miami Marlins prediction is for Cincinnati to win by at least two runs.