Chicago White Sox vs Miami Marlins Prediction MLB Picks 7/5/24

The Chicago White Sox and the Miami Marlins meet Friday in MLB action from LoanDepot Park. Here’s a Chicago White Sox vs Miami Marlins prediction. This will be the first installment in a three-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for the game. We will examine:

The Miami Marlins recent form and player performance

The Chicago White Sox recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Miami Marlins

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Chicago White Sox

Recent betting trends in games played between the Marlins and White Sox

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Marlins vs White Sox game

Chicago White Sox Betting Preview

This week the White Sox played the Cleveland Guardians. Chicago split the first two installments of that series 7-6 (loss) and 8-2 (win). On Thursday in the rubber match the White Sox took an 8-4 loss. Jared Shuster went 2.0 innings with two earned on four hits.

As starter for Friday’s game the Sox will send out Drew Thorpe. So far this year Thorpe is 2-1 with a 4.43 ERA in the first four starts of his MLB career. Thorpe has 13 Ks in 20.1 innings total.

Miami Marlins Betting Preview

Over on the Marlins’ side, they took on the Boston Red Sox this week. Miami struggled in the first two games of that set with losses 8-3 and 7-2. On Thursday the Marlins fell again 6-5. Starter Kyle Tyler went 5.1 innings with two earned runs.

In the starting pitcher role for Friday the Marlins will send out Bryan Hoeing. Through 11 games (zero starts) without a decision this year, Hoeing has a 1.83 ERA. Over his career in 52 games (eight starts), Hoeing is 3-4 with a 5.59 ERA.

White Sox vs Marlins Pick Injury Notes

White Sox SP Mike Clevinger (elbow/neck) will make a rehab start with Triple-A Charlotte on Friday.

Marlins 2B Otto Lopez hit the IL this week with lower-back inflammation.

Total Runs Facts

• Seven of the Marlins’ last eight home games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Each of the White Sox’s last four road games have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Marlins’ last eight games at LoanDepot Park.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the White Sox’s last three games.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

• Jesus Sanchez has scored at least one run in three of the Marlins’ last four games at LoanDepot Park.
• Jesus Sanchez has hit a home run in three of the Marlins’ last four home games.
• Jesus Sanchez has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Marlins’ last four games against AL opponents at LoanDepot Park.
• Jazz Chisholm has recorded at least one Single in 14 of his last 16 appearances after playing the previous day.
• Josh Bell has recorded at least one hit in each of the Marlins’ last 11 games at LoanDepot Park against opponents that held a losing record.
• Josh Bell has recorded at least one total base in each of the Marlins’ last 11 games at LoanDepot Park against opponents that held a losing record.
• Jesus Sanchez has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.

Chicago White Sox Player Prop Facts

• Yoan Moncada has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances in night games against NL teams that held a losing record.
• Eloy Jimenez has recorded at least one RBI in four of his last five road appearances against NL opponents.
• Nicky Lopez has recorded at least one Single in 13 of his last 14 road appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
• Yoan Moncada has scored at least one run in each of his five previous road appearances against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
• Yoan Moncada has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
• Yoan Moncada has recorded at least one total base in each of his last eight appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.

Chicago White Sox vs Miami Marlins Prediction

I’ll lean toward the White Sox. Thorpe is doing well over his last two starts with just two earned runs in 12.0 innings on four hits and five walks, winning both. He did have a loss on June 16 versus the Diamondbacks with seven earned in 3.1 innings, but it’s been smooth sailing since then.

On Thursday the White Sox fell into an early 5-1 hole and couldn’t climb back out on eight team hits. The bullpen wasn’t very good either (outside of Steven Wilson) during a rough loss. I think Chicago can bounce back if Thorpe has a good day Friday, though.