| MATCHUP | Chicago Cubs | New York Mets |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 40-37 | 34-43 |
| Spread | -1.5 131 | +1.5 -159 |
| Moneyline | -125 | +104 |
| Total | Over 8.5 (-117) | Under 8.5 (-103) |
| Where | Citi Field, Queens, New York | |
| When | Monday, June 22, 2026 | |
| Time | 07:10 PM EDT | |
| TV | MLB.TV | |
In this article, we will formulate a Cubs vs Mets Prediction for this MLB matchup on Monday, June 22nd in the opening game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
New York Mets Preview
The New York Mets have a 34-43 record this season and are sitting in the 5th place of the NL East. They have a 18-18 home record and are coming off a 6-2 road defeat against the Phillies. They will face the Phillies and the Blue Jays next.
The Mets have a .232 batting average this season, .297 OBP and .372 Slugging percentage. New York’s pitching staff has a 4.09 ERA and 1.28 WHIP. Juan Soto is the team’s best hitter with a .301 batting average, also adding a team-high 17 home runs. Bo Bichette leads the team in RBI with 42.
Kodai Senga (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Mets, and he has a 0-5 record, 9.00 ERA and 1.88 WHIP.
Chicago Cubs Preview
The Chicago Cubs have a 40-37 record this season and are sitting in the 3rd place of the NL Central. They have a 17-20 road record and are coming off an 8-6 home defeat against the Blue Jays. They will face the Brewers and the Padres next.
The Cubs have a .244 batting average this season, .337 OBP and .401 Slugging percentage. Chicago’s pitching staff has a 4.28 ERA and 1.24 WHIP. Pete Crow-Armstrong is the team’s best hitter with a .286 batting average. Michael Busch leads the team in RBI with 42, while Ian Happ adds a team-high 16 home runs.
Shota Imanaga (L) is the projected starting pitcher for the Cubs, and he has a 4-6 record, 4.26 ERA and 1.06 WHIP.
The Chicago Cubs @ New York Mets Betting Trends: June 22, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Kodai Senga Record this season: 0-5 ERA: 9.00
- Home Record: 0-2
- Last 5 against Cubs: 1-2
Why the New York Mets will win
- The Mets have won each of their last seven night games against the Cubs following a loss.
- The Cubs have lost each of their last four games as road favorites against National League opponents following a home loss.
- The Mets have covered the run line in each of their last seven night games against the Cubs following a loss.
- The Cubs have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven road games following a home loss.
- The Cubs have trailed after 5 innings in eight of their last nine Monday night road games.
- The Mets have won the first inning in three of their last four home games.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Shota Imanaga Record this season: 4-6 ERA: 4.26
- Road Record: 1-3
- Last 5 against Mets: 1-2
Why the Chicago Cubs will win
- The Cubs have won each of their last eight games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
- The Mets have lost each of their last 13 games as underdogs against National League opponents following a road loss.
- The Mets have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 10 home games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- The Cubs have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
- The Mets have lost the first inning in four of their last five night games.
- The Cubs have led after 3 innings in each of their last six games as favorites.
- The Cubs have led after 5 innings in seven of their last eight games as favorites.
Total Runs Facts
- Nine of the Cubs’ last 10 night games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Three of the last four games between the Cubs and Mets at Citi Field have gone OVER the total runs line.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Mets’ last seven night games.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in eight of the Cubs’ last nine games against NL East opponents.
New York Mets Player Prop Facts
- Juan Soto has hit a home run in four of his last six appearances against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- Kodai Senga has recorded five or more strikeouts in 10 of his last 12 home appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
- Francisco Lindor has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine home appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
- Juan Soto ranks 5th amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.575) this season.
Chicago Cubs Player Prop Facts
- Seiya Suzuki has hit a home run in each of the Cubs’ last three games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
- Shota Imanaga has recorded six or more strikeouts in four of his last five road appearances.
- Alex Bregman has recorded at least one hit in 22 of his last 23 road appearances.
- Shota Imanaga has recorded a win in six of his last seven appearances against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
- Pete Crow-Armstrong is one of only two players to record 10+ Home Runs and 4+ Triples this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Mets rank 30th in the league for doubles this season (95).
- The Mets rank 29th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.297).
- The Cubs rank 1st in the league for walks this season (338).
- The Cubs rank 29th in the league for home runs allowed this season (113).
Cubs vs Mets Prediction
The Cubs are 4-1 in their last 5 meetings against the Mets but have lost two of their last three visits in New York.
In this Cubs vs Mets Prediction, the Cubs are coming as -125 road favorites. I like the Cubs in this one as they have had two days off and the Mets are coming off Sunday Night Baseball. Imanaga has gotten back on track for the Cubs with one earned run in his last two starts, while Senga came back from a injury and continued where he left off, giving up 4 runs in 4 innings pitched. Take the Cubs in this one.