Chicago Cubs vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction 5/3/25 MLB Picks

Chris Ruffolo

8 months ago

Milwaukee Brewers (16-17) vs Chicago Cubs (20-13)

Game Info: Saturday, May 3, 2025 at 7:10 pm (American Family Field)

The Line: Betting Odds: Milwaukee Brewers -108 / Chicago Cubs -112 — Over/Under: 8.5

The Chicago Cubs and the Milwaukee Brewers meet Saturday in MLB action from Rate Field. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewers prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Chicago Cubs will send out Jameson Taillon for the start here and is 1-1 with a 4.01 ERA and 26 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against the Brewers, Taillon is 1-3 with a 2.30 ERA and 25 strikeouts. Jose Quintana will get the nod for the Brewers here, and Quintana is 4-0 with a 1.14 ERA and 15 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against the Cubs, Quintana is 1-1 with a 1.91 ERA and 27 strikeouts.

Chicago Cubs Recap

The Chicago Cubs come into this game looking to build on their 10-0 win over the Brewers from Friday’s series opener to improve to 20-13 on the year. After this series, the Cubs will head home for a series against the San Francisco Giants.

Cubs Win Back-To-Back Games

Kyle Tucker has 35 hits, including 8 doubles, 8 home runs, and 28 RBIs, while Seiya Suzuki also has 33 hits with 6 doubles and 9 home runs and 28 RBIs of his own. Miguel Amaya added 6 doubles and 14 RBIs, and Pete Crow-Armstrong has also contributed 10 doubles this season. Dansby Swanson has added 6 home runs and 17 RBIs, while he also has the unfortunate distinction of leading the Cubs with 39 strikeouts so far this season. Crow-Armstrong also has a team-high 12 stolen bases, while Nico Hoerner has 6 stolen bases this season. Michael Busch has also chipped in 5 home runs and 18 RBIs this season.

Why the Chicago Cubs will win

The Cubs have won seven of their last eight road games against NL Central opponents.
The Brewers have lost five of their last six games against National League opponents.
The road team has covered the run line in seven of the Brewers’ last eight games.
The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven games as home underdogs.

Chicago Cubs Player Prop Facts

Seiya Suzuki has hit at least one home run in five of the Cubs’ last six games against opponents that held a losing record.
Ian Happ has recorded a Double in six of the Cubs’ last seven road games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
Kyle Tucker has recorded at least one RBI in each of his six previous road appearances against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
Dansby Swanson has scored at least one run in each of the Cubs’ last seven road games against NL Central opponents.
Seiya Suzuki has recorded at least one Single in each of the Cubs’ last six games as road favorites against the Brewers.
Dansby Swanson has recorded at least one hit in each of the Cubs’ last 12 night games against NL opponents that held a losing record.
Jameson Taillon has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
Pete Crow-Armstrong ranks 4th in the league in Steals (12) this season.

Milwaukee Brewers Recap

The Milwaukee Brewers come into this game looking to rebound from their loss at the hands of the Cubs on Friday to fall to 16-17 on the year. After this series, the Brewers will square off against the Houston Astros at home.

Brewers Shut Out In Back-To-Back Games

Brice Turang has a team-high 38 hits with 3 home runs, 15 RBIs, and 8 stolen bases, while Jackson Chourio has 36 hits with a team-high 11 doubles, 6 home runs, and 24 RBIs, and Sal Frelick has 34 hits as well as 2 triples and 7 stolen bases so far this season. Christian Yelich also has 6 stolen bases with 5 homers and 23 RBIs while also adding 3 doubles. Chourio also has a team-high 32 strikeouts up to this point in the year. William Contreras has 3 homers and 18 RBIs as well this season.

Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win

The Brewers have won eight of their last 10 games as home underdogs against NL Central opponents following a home loss.
The Cubs have lost 13 of their last 17 games as favorites against NL Central opponents following a win.
The Brewers have covered the run line in each of their last 10 games as home underdogs against NL Central opponents following a home loss.
The Cubs have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight night games against National League opponents following a win.

Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts

Christian Yelich has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances in night games against NL Central teams that held a winning record.
Jackson Chourio has recorded a Double in three of the Brewers’ last four games against NL opponents.
Christian Yelich has recorded two or more RBIs in four of his last five appearances in night games against NL Central teams that held a winning record.
Jackson Chourio has scored at least one run in each of his last seven Saturday appearances with the Brewers as underdogs.
William Contreras has recorded a Single in each of his last 12 appearances with the Brewers as underdogs.
Jose Quintana has recorded four or more strikeouts in each of his last nine appearances with his team as an underdog against NL Central opponents.
William Contreras has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 14 appearances against NL opponents.
Jose Quintana has recorded a win in each of his last four appearances.
Jose Quintana ranks T5th in the league for Wins (4) this season.

Total Runs Facts

Six of the last seven games between the Cubs and Brewers at American Family Field have gone OVER the total runs line.
Six of the Cubs’ last eight road games against NL Central opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.