Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction 4/29/25 MLB Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Red Sox vs Blue Jays prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, April 29, at Rogers Centre in Toronto, Ontario. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Boston Red Sox Betting Preview

The Boston Red Sox (16-14, 8-8 Away) were on a three-game losing streak, during which they lost the series to the Seattle Mariners at home, before winning two in a row against the Cleveland Guardians on the road. The Red Sox were excellent in the recent 13-3 victory over the Guardians; Ceddanne Rafaela led the team with five RBI, while Brayan Bello got the win after allowing three runs on six hits with four strikeouts and three walks over 6.0 innings of work.

This season, the Red Sox average 4.93 runs per game (6th in the MLB) on a .249/.331/.411 slash line. Regarding pitching, the Red Sox’s staff has a 4.04 ERA (15th) and 1.31 WHIP (18th). Alex Bregman leads the Red Sox with a .319 batting average, five home runs, and 22 RBI this season.

The projected starting pitcher for the Red Sox is Garrett Crochet, who is 2-2 in six starts this season, with a 1.95 ERA and 1.05 WHIP in 37.0 innings.

Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview

The Toronto Blue Jays (13-15, 8-5 Home) are going through their worst stretch of the season, during which they lost seven of eight games. After losing the series to the Mariners, the Blue Jays were swept by the Astros and then lost two out of three games to the Yankees. In the most recent 5-1 defeat to the Yanks, Chris Bassitt took the loss after allowing four runs on six hits with five strikeouts and one walk in 5.2 innings.

This year, the Blue Jays average 3.39 runs per game (27th in the MLB) on a .240/.312/.344 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Blue Jays’ staff has a 4.06 ERA (16th) and 1.23 WHIP (12th). Bo Bichette leads the Blue Jays with a .292 batting average, no home runs, and 13 RBI this season.

Bowden Francis will take the mound for the Blue Jays on Tuesday. The 29-year-old right-hander has a 2-3 record in five starts this year with a 3.58 ERA and 1.19 WHIP in 27.2 innings.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Blue Jays’ last seven games as underdogs against the Red Sox have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Each of the Red Sox’s last six games as favorites against AL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Red Sox’s last eight games.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the last eight night games between the Red Sox and Blue Jays at Rogers Centre.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Blue Jays rank 2nd in the league for strikeouts against this season (200).
• The Blue Jays rank T28th in the league for home runs allowed this season (37).
• The Red Sox rank 28th in the league for strikeouts against this season (277).
• The Red Sox rank 4th in the league for walks this season (119).

Red Sox vs Blue Jays Prediction

The teams have traded wins in the past couple of years, as each recorded five in the previous ten H2H duels. They already met four times this season, and the Blue Jays won that series 3-1. Nine of the last ten H2Hs went Under, and I am going with another low-scoring affair mainly because of the pitching matchup. Crochet allowed a .176 BA in 34 at-bats against the Blue Jays, while Francis allowed a .103 BA in 29 at-bats against the Red Sox. Last season, Francis posted a 0.00 ERA in 13.0 innings (two starts) against Boston, while Crochet already pitched against Toronto this season and registered a 1.59 ERA in 5.2 innings. I am backing Under.