Boston Red Sox vs Texas Rangers Prediction MLB Picks 8/4/24

In this article we will formulate a Boston Red Sox vs Texas Rangers prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, August 4th at Globe Life Field in Arlington, Texas. To formulate this prediction for game three in the series, we will examine:

• The Red Sox recent form and recent player performance 
• The Rangers recent form and recent play performance
• Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Boston
• Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Texas
• Recent betting trends in games played between Boston and Texas
• A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between Boston and Texas

Red Sox are Allowing Way Too Many Runs 

The Boston Red Sox are 58-51 this season and they have won two of their last three games. Boston won the first game in this series by a score of 11-6, but they lost game two and allowed seven runs in the game. Prior to this series, the Red Sox won two out of three against the Mariners, lost two out of three against the Yankees, and lost two out of three against the Rockies. Boston is 5-9 in their last 14 games and they are third in the AL East. 

The Boston pitching staff has a 3.97 ERA, a 1.24 WHIP, and a .246 opponent batting average. The Red Sox offense has scored 537 runs with a .262 batting average and a .328 on base percentage. Rafael Devers is batting .306 with 25 home runs and 70 RBI’s for the Red Sox this season. Boston has allowed at least six runs in 11 of their last 13 games. 

Rangers Could Use a Series Win 

The Texas Rangers are 53-58 this year and they have lost three of their last four games. Texas lost the first game in this series on Friday, but they won game two by a score of 7-4. Prior to this series, the Rangers lost two out of three against the Cardinals, lost all three against the Blue Jays, and swept the White Sox in four games. Texas is 2-6 in their last eight games and they are third in the AL West. 

The Texas pitching staff has a 4.21 ERA, a 1.27 WHIP, and a .237 opponent batting average. The Rangers offense has scored 473 runs with a .240 batting average and a .310 on base percentage. Adolis Garcia is batting .211 with 18 home runs and 54 RBI’s for the Rangers this season. Texas has allowed at least seven runs in five of their last seven games. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Boston is Nick Pivetta, who is 5-7 with a 4.47 ERA and a 1.17 WHIP over 90.2 innings pitched this year. Pivetta has allowed three earned runs or more in three of his last four starts. The projected starting pitcher for Texas is Nathan Eovaldi, who is 8-4 with a 3.38 ERA and a 1.04 WHIP over 112.0 innings pitched this season. Eovaldi has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last five outings. 

Why the Rangers will beat the Red Sox

• The Rangers have won each of their last nine home games against American League opponents following a home win.
• The Red Sox have lost six of their last eight road games.
• The Rangers have covered the run line in eight of their last nine home games against AL East opponents following a home win.
• The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five games as underdogs after playing the previous day.

Why the Red Sox will beat the Rangers

• The Red Sox have won each of their last nine Sunday games against AL West opponents.
• The Rangers have lost four of their last five games against American League opponents.
• The Red Sox have covered the run line in each of their last nine Sunday day road games against American League opponents.
• The Rangers have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven games as favorites following a win.
• The Rangers have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last three day games.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Rangers’ last seven games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Seven of the Red Sox’s last eight games as underdogs have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Red Sox’s last seven games as underdogs against American League opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Rangers’ last five games against AL East opponents.

Texas Rangers Player Prop Facts

• Jonah Heim has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances with the Rangers as favorites against AL East opponents.
• Leody Taveras has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Rangers’ last four games as favorites against the Red Sox.
• Leody Taveras has scored at least one run in each of the Rangers’ last four games against the Red Sox.
• Nathan Eovaldi has recorded a win in five of his last six home appearances.
• Corey Seager has recorded at least one Single in 12 of the Rangers’ last 13 day games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Nathan Eovaldi has recorded six or more strikeouts in six of his last seven appearances with the Rangers as favorites against AL opponents.
• Jonah Heim has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances in day games against AL East teams that held a winning record.
• Jonah Heim has recorded at least one total base in 14 of his last 15 appearances in day games against AL East teams that held a winning record.

Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts

• Rafael Devers has recorded at least one Double in each of the Red Sox’s last five games.
• Rafael Devers has hit at least one home run in three of the Red Sox’s last four games as road underdogs against AL opponents.
• Connor Wong has recorded an RBI in four of his last five appearances against AL West opponents.
• Connor Wong has recorded at least one Single in each of his last eight road appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
• Nick Pivetta has recorded seven or more strikeouts in five of his last six appearances in day games against AL teams that held a losing record.
• Connor Wong has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 10 appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
• Rafael Devers has recorded at least one hit in each of the Red Sox’s last 11 games against AL opponents.
• Triston Casas has scored a run in each of his last eight Sunday appearances.

Boston Red Sox vs Texas Rangers Prediction 

Texas comes into this game trying to stay close in the race for the AL West, but they have really struggled to string wins together this year. The Rangers are 30-24 at home, while the Red Sox are 31-23 on the road. Boston is third in the AL East, but they play their best baseball on the road. Both of these teams are allowing way too many runs right now and even though Eovaldi has been pretty good this year, I think we are going to see another high scoring game here. My Boston Red Sox vs Texas Rangers prediction is for this game to go over the total. 

David Racey's Pick: Over 8.5