New York Mets (72-64) vs Boston Red Sox (70-65)
Game Info: Tuesday, September 3, 2024 at 7:10 pm (Citi Field)
The Line: Betting Odds: New York Mets -127 / Boston Red Sox +107 — Over/Under:
The Boston Red Sox and the New York Mets meet Tuesday in MLB action from Citi Field. Here’s a Boston Red Sox vs New York Mets prediction. This will be the second installment in a three-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Red Sox vs Mets pick. We will examine:
The Boston Red Sox’s recent form and player performance
The New York Mets’ recent form and player performance
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Boston Red Sox
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the New York Mets
Recent betting trends in games played between the Red Sox and Mets
A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Red Sox vs Mets game
Boston Red Sox Betting Preview
The Red Sox played the Detroit Tigers in their weekend series. Boston won the Friday matchup but lost the remaining pair. On Monday versus the Mets, the Sox committed two errors alongside six team hits in a 4-1 loss.
In the starter role for Tuesday, the Red Sox will send out Kutter Crawford. This year Crawford is 8-12 with a 4.12 ERA in 28 starts. Crawford has a career ERA of 4.48 with a 17-27 record in 81 games (64 starts). The Red Sox will meet the White Sox, Orioles, and Yankees after this series.
New York Mets Betting Preview
Over on the Mets’ side, they were able to sweep the ailing White Sox in their weekend set with wins 5-1, 5-3, and 2-0. On Monday New York bagged eight team hits in the victory. Luis Severino went 7.0 innings with one earned run in the start.
David Peterson will start for the Mets on Tuesday. Peterson is 8-1 with a 2.83 ERA in 16 starts so far. He’s 26-22 with a 4.15 ERA in his career over 96 games (80 starts).
Total Runs Facts
- Seven of the Mets’ last eight games as favorites against the Red Sox have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Each of the Red Sox’s last five games as underdogs against the Mets has gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Red Sox’s last four night games at Citi Field.
New York Mets Player Prop Facts
- Brandon Nimmo has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances in night games against AL teams that held a winning record.
- Jeff McNeil has recorded a Single in each of his last six appearances against the Red Sox.
- Francisco Lindor has scored a run in each of the Mets’ last six games against AL opponents.
- Jeff McNeil has recorded at least one total base in each of the Mets’ last eight games as favorites against the Red Sox.
- Jeff McNeil has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances against the Red Sox.
- J.D. Martinez has recorded at least one RBI in seven of his eight previous home appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
- J.D. Martinez has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances in night games against AL East teams that held a winning record.
Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts
- Danny Jansen has recorded a Double in four of his last five appearances against NL East opponents.
- Jarren Duran has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Red Sox’s last six games as road underdogs against NL opponents.
- Jarren Duran has scored at least one run in six of the Red Sox’s last seven games as underdogs against NL opponents.
- Tyler O’Neill has recorded at least one Single in each of his six previous appearances at Citi Field.
- Triston Casas has recorded at least one total base in each of his last seven appearances in night games against NL teams that held a winning record.
- Jarren Duran has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 road appearances against NL East opponents.
- Trevor Story has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances with his team as an underdog against NL East opponents.
Boston Red Sox vs New York Mets Prediction
I’ll stick with the Mets. New York should be in good hands with Peterson starting. Over his last three Peterson is 1-0 with five earned over 21.1 innings total. As for Crawford, he’s 0-3 in his last three with seven earned over 17.0 innings of work.
On Monday the Mets only needed RBI from Francisco Lindor and Brandon Nimmo in a pretty nice defensive effort. The pen posted 2.0 clean frames with no hits and one walk alongside four Ks. I like New York to keep it up on Tuesday.