| MATCHUP | Boston Red Sox | Miami Marlins |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 71-59 | 67-64 |
| Spread | -1.5 128 | +1.5 -155 |
| Moneyline | -137 | +114 |
| Total | Over 7.5 (-108) | Under 7.5 (-112) |
| Where | loanDepot park, Miami, Florida | |
| When | Monday, August 24, 2026 | |
| Time | 06:40 PM EDT | |
| TV | MLB.TV | |
Miami Marlins Preview
The Miami Marlins have a 67-64 record this season and sit in 3rd place in the NL East. They have a 41-25 home record and are coming off a 6-2 home win against the Nationals. They will face the Nationals and the Royals next.
The Miami Marlins have a .249 batting average this season, .326 OBP, and .402 Slugging percentage. Miami’s pitching staff has a 3.90 ERA and 1.25 WHIP. Otto Lopez is the Marlins’ best hitter with a .306 batting average, while leading the team in RBI with 58. Heriberto Hernandez adds a team-high 19 home runs.
Sandy Alcantara (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Marlins, holding a 13-8 record, 3.46 ERA, and 1.18 WHIP.
Boston Red Sox Preview
The Boston Red Sox have a 71-59 record this season and sit in 3rd place in the AL East. They have a 37-27 road record and are coming off a 5-4 home win against the Giants. They will face the Yankees and the Mariners next.
The Boston Red Sox have a .251 batting average this season, .324 OBP, and .407 Slugging percentage. Boston’s pitching staff has a 3.51 ERA and 1.22 WHIP. Ceddanne Rafaela is the Red Sox’s best hitter with a .289 batting average. Willson Contreras leads the team in RBI with 78, adding a team-high 26 home runs.
Ranger Suarez (L) is the projected starting pitcher for the Red Sox, holding a 5-3 record, 3.41 ERA, and 1.18 WHIP.
Boston Red Sox @ Miami Marlins Betting Trends: August 24, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Sandy Alcantara Record this season: 13-8 ERA: 3.46
- Home Record: 6-3
- Last 5 against Red Sox: 1-1
Why the Miami Marlins will win
- The Marlins have won seven of their last eight games as home underdogs following a win.
- The Red Sox have lost three of their last four games as road favorites following a win.
- The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games as favorites against National League opponents following a win.
- The Marlins have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games following a win.
- The Red Sox have trailed after 3 innings in 10 of their last 11 road games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
- The Red Sox have trailed after 5 innings in 10 of their last 11 road games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
- The Red Sox have lost the first inning in each of their last five road games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Ranger Suarez Record this season: 5-3 ERA: 3.41
- Road Record: 3-1
- Last 5 against Marlins: 3-0
Why the Boston Red Sox will win
- The Red Sox have won each of their last 16 night games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Marlins have lost each of their last six games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Red Sox have covered the run line each of their last eight road games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five night games against American League opponents.
- The Red Sox have won the first inning in four of their last five games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
- The Red Sox have led after 3 innings in seven of their last eight games as road favorites against NL East opponents.
- The Red Sox have led after 5 innings in seven of their last eight games as road favorites against NL East opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Marlins’ last four games against AL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Six of the Red Sox’s last seven games have gone OVER the total runs line.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in 10 of the Red Sox’s last 11 road games against NL East opponents.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in nine of the Marlins’ last 10 games as underdogs.
Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts
- Griffin Conine has hit a home run in three of the Marlins’ last four home games against opponents that held a winning record.
- Sandy Alcantara has recorded a win in four of his last five home appearances.
- Sandy Alcantara has recorded five or more strikeouts in 16 of his last 17 appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
- Xavier Edwards has recorded at least one hit in each of the Marlins’ last 10 home games against opponents that held a winning record.
- Otto Lopez ranks 2nd in the league in Hits (155) this season.
Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts
- Mickey Gasper has hit a home run in each of the Red Sox’s last three games against opponents that held a winning record.
- Ranger Suarez has recorded a win in each of his last three road appearances against the Marlins.
- Ranger Suarez has recorded six or more strikeouts in five of his last six appearances in night games against NL East teams that held a winning record.
- Ceddanne Rafaela has recorded at least one hit in each of the Red Sox’s last 15 road games against NL East opponents.
- Willson Contreras ranks 4th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.392) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Marlins rank 2nd in the league for triples this season (28).
- The Marlins rank 2nd in the league for steals this season (132).
- The Red Sox rank T1st in the league for doubles this season (238).
- The Red Sox rank 2nd in the league for home runs allowed this season (126).
Red Sox vs Marlins Prediction
The Red Sox are 5-1 in their last 6 meetings against the Marlins, having won their last three visits in Miami.
In this Red Sox vs Marlins Prediction, the Red Sox are coming as -130 road favorites. I like the Red Sox in this one, as they have both a better offense and the best bullpen in baseball. Suarez has been elite on the road with a 3-1 record and 2.75 ERA and even though Alcantara has been in good form, the Marlins have been weaker against lefties and scoring just 3 runs per game against southpaws in their last 10 games. Take the Red Sox in this one.