Blue Jays vs Yankees Prediction 8/21/2026 Today’s MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate a Blue Jays vs Yankees prediction for this MLB game on Friday, August 21st at Yankee Stadium in Bronx, New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview

The Toronto Blue Jays are 63-66 this year after they won two out of three against the Rays by scores of 10-5, 6-7, and 5-1. In game three, Toronto blew an early 1-0 lead, but they scored the last four runs to get the win. The Blue Jays recorded 12 hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Springer, who went 2-5 with two RBIs. Bieber allowed four hits and one earned run over 7.0 innings for the win, while Varland threw a scoreless ninth. Prior to that series, Toronto won two out of three against the Yankees and three out of four against the Red Sox. 

This season, Toronto has a 3.96 ERA with a 1.31 WHIP and a .239 opponent batting average, while they have scored 513 runs with a .244 batting average and a .306 on base percentage. Kazuma Okamoto has led the Blue Jays with 26 home runs and 74 RBIs, while Andres Gimenez has added eight home runs and 49 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Toronto is TBD. 

New York Yankees Betting Preview

The New York Yankees are 72-55 this season after they swept the Orioles in three games by scores of 3-1, 5-3, and 6-1. In game three, New York had their lead cut to 3-1 in the fifth inning, but they scored the last three runs to pull away with the win. The Yankees recorded 11 hits in the game and they were led by Garcia Jr, who went 3-4 with one home run and one RBI. Cole allowed four hits and one earned run over 6.0 innings for the win, while Yarbrough picked up the save. Prior to that series, New York lost two out of three against the Blue Jays, but did win two out of three against the Mariners before that. 

This season, New York has a 3.22 ERA with a 1.17 WHIP and a .223 opponent batting average, while they have scored 565 runs with a .230 batting average and a .309 on base percentage. Ben Rice has led the Yankees with 34 home runs and 80 RBIs, while Cody Bellinger has added 11 home runs and 53 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Cam Schlittler, who is 10-6 with a 2.19 ERA and a 0.94 WHIP over 152.0 innings pitched this season. 

Why the New York Yankees will win

• The Blue Jays have lost seven of their last eight road games following a road win.
• The Yankees have won each of their last four games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Yankees have covered the run line each of their last four games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in three of their last four games against American League opponents following a road win.

Why the Toronto Blue Jays will win

• The Yankees have lost nine of their last 10 games against the Blue Jays following a road win.
• The Blue Jays have won each of their last seven Friday games at Yankee Stadium.
• The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven night games against the Blue Jays following a road win.
• The Blue Jays have covered the run line in each of their last six road games.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Yankees’ last four night games against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Four of the Blue Jays’ last five road games against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in seven of the Yankees’ last eight games at Yankee Stadium.
• There has been no run scored during the first inning in 15 of the Blue Jays’ last 19 road games against American League opponents.

New York Yankees Player Prop Facts

• Cam Schlittler has recorded seven or more strikeouts in five of his last six appearances.
• Trent Grisham has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances in night games against AL teams that held a losing record.
• Trent Grisham has hit at least one home run in three of the Yankees’ last five night games against opponents that held a losing record.

Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts

• Alejandro Kirk has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 appearances against AL East opponents.
• Alejandro Kirk has hit a home run in each of the Blue Jays’ last three night games against opponents that held a winning record.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Yankees rank 29th in the league for hits this season (966).
• The Yankees rank 2nd in the league for home runs this season (175).
• The Blue Jays rank 28th in the league for home runs this season (123).
• The Blue Jays rank 28th in the league for RBIs this season (490).

Blue Jays vs Yankees Prediction 

New York comes into this matchup on a four game winning streak and they have allowed three runs or fewer in all four of those wins. The Yankees are 31-27 at home this year, while the Blue Jays are 30-33 on the road. Toronto has alternated wins and losses over their last five games, but they have scored 21 runs in their last three. The Blue Jays have not announced their starter, while Schlittler has allowed one earned run or fewer in four of his last five starts. Take the Yankees -1.5 here.

David Racey's Pick: Yankees -1.5