Philadelphia Phillies (40-29) vs Toronto Blue Jays (38-31)
June 14, 2025 at 04:05 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Philadelphia Phillies -176 / Toronto Blue Jays +144 — Over/Under: 8.5
In this article, we will formulate a Blue Jays vs Phillies prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, June 14th at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview
The Toronto Blue Jays are 38-31 this year after they lost game one in this series by a score of 8-0. Toronto fell behind early in the game and never had a chance in the shutout loss. The Blue Jays recorded five hits in the game, and they were led by Kirk, who went 2-4 in the loss. Toronto started Gausman, who allowed four hits and four earned runs over 5.0 innings for the loss, while Swanson allowed three earned runs in relief.
Prior to this series, the Blue Jays swept the Cardinals in three games and won two out of three against the Twins. Toronto has won seven of its last nine games, and they are currently second in the AL East standings. The Toronto pitching staff has a 4.12 ERA with a 1.23 WHIP and a .237 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 296 runs with a .255 batting average and a .325 on-base percentage this season. Bo Bichette has led Toronto with eight home runs and 40 RBIs, while George Springer has added 10 home runs and 31 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Toronto is Bowden Francis, who is 2-8 with a 6.12 ERA and a 1.56 WHIP over 60.1 innings pitched this year.
Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview
The Philadelphia Phillies are 40-29 this season after they won game one on Friday night. Philadelphia jumped out to a 4-0 lead in the second inning, and they added three more in the eighth to pull away in the blowout win. The Phillies recorded 10 hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Schwarber, who went 1-4 with one home run and three RBIs in the win. Philadelphia started Suarez, who allowed four hits and zero earned runs over 7.0 innings for the win, while Ross and Walker finished in relief.
Prior to this series, the Phillies won two out of three against the Cubs, but did lose all three against the Pirates before that. Philadelphia has won three of its last four games, and they are currently second in the NL East standings. The Philadelphia pitching staff has a 3.94 ERA with a 1.30 WHIP and a .250 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 320 runs with a .255 batting average and a .329 on-base percentage this season. Kyle Schwarber has led Philadelphia with 22 home runs and 50 RBIs, while Trea Turner has added seven home runs and 31 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Philadelphia is Cristopher Sanchez, who is 5-2 with a 3.10 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP over 72.2 innings pitched this season.
Why the Phillies will beat the Blue Jays
- The Phillies have won 10 of their last 11 home games against AL East opponents following a home win.
- The Blue Jays have lost each of their last four road games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
- The Phillies have covered the run line in each of their last six Saturday games against American League opponents.
- The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in three of their last four games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
- The Phillies have led after 3 innings in four of their last five games against the Blue Jays.
- The Blue Jays have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five road games against NL East opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Seven of the Blue Jays’ last eight games as underdogs have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Four of the Phillies’ last five games as favorites against AL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Phillies’ last five games as home favorites.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in six of the Blue Jays’ last seven games as road underdogs against NL East opponents.
Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts
- Trea Turner has recorded a Double in four of the Phillies’ last five day games.
- Kyle Schwarber has hit a home run in each of his last three home appearances with the Phillies against AL opponents.
- Kyle Schwarber has recorded an RBI in each of the Phillies’ last four day games against opponents that held a winning record.
- Kyle Schwarber has scored a run in each of the Phillies’ last eight Saturday day games as favorites.
- J.T. Realmuto has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts
- Alejandro Kirk has hit a home run in two of the Blue Jays’ last three games as road underdogs.
- Ernie Clement has recorded a Double in three of the Blue Jays’ last four games as underdogs against NL opponents.
- George Springer has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Blue Jays’ last six games as road underdogs.
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has scored a run in six of the Blue Jays’ last seven day games.
- Alejandro Kirk has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 road appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
Blue Jays vs Phillies Prediction
Philadelphia comes into this matchup after a blowout win on Friday night, and they are starting to play some solid baseball after struggling for a few weeks. The Phillies are 22-13 at home this year, while the Blue Jays are 16-18 on the road. Toronto has also played well recently, and they have scored at least five runs in three of their last four games. The Jays are starting Francis, who has allowed 10 earned runs in his last 5.0 innings. The Phillies are going with Sanchez, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three straight starts. Take the Phillies -1.5 once again here.