Seattle Mariners (47-39) vs Baltimore Orioles (53-31)
July 4, 2024 at 04:10 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Seattle Mariners +134 / Baltimore Orioles -156 — Over/Under: 8.5
The Baltimore Orioles and the Seattle Mariners meet Thursday in MLB action from T-Mobile Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Baltimore Orioles vs Seattle Mariners Prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
The Baltimore Orioles will send out Corbin Burnes for the start here and Burnes is 9-3 with a 2.28 ERA and 99 strikeouts this season. In his career, Burnes is 2-0 with a 1.59 ERA and 14 strikeouts against Seattle. The Seattle Mariners will send out Bryce Miller for the start here and Miller is 6-7 with a 3.88 ERA and 91 strikeouts this season. In his career, Miller is 0-1 with a 4.70 ERA and 7 strikeouts against Baltimore.
Baltimore Orioles Recap
The Baltimore Orioles will look to complete the sweep of the Mariners here after ending up with a 4-1 win in Wednesday’s matchup. The win for the Orioles meant that the O’s now picked up back-to-back series wins after taking out the Rangers the series prior.
Orioles Still Rolling Offensively
Gunnar Henderson leads the Orioles with 26 home runs, along with 58 RBIs and 4 triples but also has a team-high 93 strikeouts in addition to 13 stolen bases. Adley Rutschman has a team-high 95 hits with 15 home runs and 55 RBIs in addition to 12 doubles while Anthony Santander has 15 doubles with 22 home runs and 56 RBIs and Colton Cowser has 13 doubles and Ryan Mountcastle has a team-high 21 doubles. Cedric Mullins has also contributed a team-high 16 stolen bases as well this season.
Why the Baltimore Orioles will win
- The Orioles have won each of their last eight day games following a road win.
- The Mariners have lost each of their last five day games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
- The Mariners have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight home games against AL East opponents.
- The Orioles have covered the run line in each of their last eight day games following a road win.
Seattle Mariners Recap
The Seattle Mariners will try to avoid the sweep after falling flat once again in Wednesday’s clash. The series loss for the Mariners is yet another series defeat for Seattle, who has had series losses to the Twins, Rays and Marlins over the last two weeks.
Mariners Trying To Find Answers At The Plate
Julio Rodriguez leads the Mariners with 84 hits including a .244 batting average and also has 6 doubles. Cal Raleigh has a team-high 15 home runs along with 51 RBIs and 102 strikeouts. Mitch Haniger also has 7 home runs and 31 RBIs while Rodriguez has a team-high 17 stolen bases and 99 strikeouts as well this season. Dylan Moore has a team-high 14 doubles and Mitch Garver has 12 doubles also this season.
Why the Seattle Mariners will win
- The underdogs have won each of the Orioles’ last four games at T-Mobile Park.
- The Orioles have lost four of their last five games as favorites against AL West opponents following a road win.
- The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the Orioles’ last five games.
- The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games as road favorites against AL West opponents.
Baltimore Orioles vs Seattle Mariners Prediction
I’m on the Orioles here. Corbin Burnes had issues in his last road start, giving up four runs, but it was the first start this season where Burnes gave up more than three runs. He’s had ace level stuff all season and I don’t think that changes here against a Mariners team that has series issues against righties at the moment. The Mariners are losing their grip on the AL West lead and I think Baltimore completes the sweep to add to Seattle’s misery here.

