| MATCHUP | Baltimore Orioles | Pittsburgh Pirates |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 3-6 | 6-3 |
| Where | PNC Park, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania | |
| When | Sunday, April 5, 2026 | |
| Time | 01:35 PM EDT | |
| TV | MLB.TV | |
In this article, we will formulate an Orioles vs Pirates Prediction for this MLB matchup on Sunday, April 5th in the third game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Pittsburgh Pirates Preview
The Pittsburgh Pirates have a 5-3 record this season and are sitting in the second place of the NL Central. They have a 2-0 home record and are coming off a 3-2 home win against the Orioles. Their previous three games were a 5-4 home win against the Orioles, and two 8-3 road wins against the Reds.
The Pirates have a .232 batting average this season, .326 OBP and .384 Slugging percentage. Pittsburgh’s pitching staff has a 3.50 ERA and 1.39 WHIP. Ryan O’Hearn is the team’s best hitter with a .360 batting average, also leading the team in RBI with 7. Oneil Cruz adds a team-high three home runs.
Braxton Ashcraft (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Pirates, and he has a 0-1 record, 3.00 ERA and 1.33 WHIP.
Baltimore Orioles Preview
The Baltimore Orioles have a 3-5 record this season and are sitting in the third place of the AL East. They have a 0-2 road record and are coming off a 2-3 road loss against the Pirates. Their previous three games were a 4-5 road loss against the Pirates, an 8-3 home win and a 5-8 home loss against the Rangers.
The Orioles have a .249 batting average this season, .337 OBP and .368 Slugging percentage. Baltimore’s pitching staff has a 4.22 ERA and 1.42 WHIP. Adley Rutschman is the team’s best hitter with a .333 batting average. Gunnar Henderson leads the team in RBI with 6, also adding a team-high two home runs.
Chris Bassitt (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Orioles, and he has a 0-1 record, 8.31 ERA and 2.31 WHIP.
Baltimore Orioles @ Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Trends: April 5, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Braxton Ashcraft Record this season: 0-1 ERA: 3.00
- Home Record: 0-0
- Last 5 against Orioles: 0-0
Why the Pittsburgh Pirates will win
- The Pirates have won each of their last 11 day games at PNC Park following a win.
- The Orioles have lost each of their last seven road games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Pirates have covered the run line in each of their last nine day games at PNC Park following a win.
- The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five games against the Pirates following a loss.
- The Orioles have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last six games as road underdogs against NL Central opponents.
- The Orioles have lost the first inning in each of their last four games as road underdogs.
- The Orioles have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last six games as road underdogs against NL Central opponents.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Chris Bassitt Record this season: 0-1 ERA: 8.31
- Road Record: 0-0
- Last 5 against Pirates: 4-1
Why the Baltimore Orioles will win
- The underdogs have won each of the Orioles’ last four games at PNC Park.
- The Pirates have lost five of their last six games as home favorites against American League opponents following a win.
- The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the last seven games between the Orioles and Pirates.
- The Pirates have failed to cover the run line in 24 of their last 28 games as home favorites against American League opponents following a win.
- The Orioles have led after 5 innings in four of their last five road games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
Total Runs Facts
- Seven of the Orioles’ last eight games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Thirteen of the Pirates’ last 15 games as favorites against AL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Orioles’ last six day games.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Pirates’ last eight games as home favorites against AL East opponents.
Pittsburgh Pirates Player Prop Facts
- Jared Triolo has hit a home run in three of the Pirates’ last four games as home favorites.
- Bryan Reynolds has recorded at least one hit in each of the Pirates’ last seven games against opponents that held a losing record.
- Brandon Lowe ranks T4th in the league in Home Runs (3) this season.
Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts
- Chris Bassitt has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his six previous appearances against the Pirates.
- Adley Rutschman has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 road appearances against NL opponents.
- Chris Bassitt has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances against the Pirates.
- Tyler O’Neill has hit a home run in four of his last seven appearances against NL opponents.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Pirates rank T29th in the league for steals this season (1).
- The Pirates rank 27th in the league for walks allowed this season (44).
- The Orioles rank T5th in the league for home runs allowed this season (6).
- The Orioles rank 25th in the league for walks allowed this season (35).
Orioles vs Pirates Prediction
Both teams are tied 5-5 in their last 10 meetings but the Pirates have won their last four meetings in Pittsburgh.
In this Orioles vs Pirates Prediction, the Pirates are coming as -130 home favorites. The Pirates have four consecutive wins and will face Chris Bassitt for the Orioles, who had a rough start to the season. The Pirates also have a better bullpen ERA and score more runs and I don’t see the Orioles bouncing back in this one, as Bassitt has been historically weaker on the road, having a 5.47 road ERA last season. Take the Pirates on the moneyline.