Minnesota Twins (16-20) vs Baltimore Orioles (13-21)
Game Info: Wednesday, May 7, 2025 at 7:40 pm (Target Field)
The Line: Betting Odds: Minnesota Twins -148 / Baltimore Orioles +124 — Over/Under: 9.5
The Baltimore Orioles and the Minnesota Twins meet Wednesday in MLB action from Target Field. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Baltimore Orioles vs. Minnesota Twins prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
The Baltimore Orioles will send out Charlie Morton for the start here, and Morton is 0-6 with a 9.76 ERA and 26 strikeouts this season. Simeon Woods-Richardson will get the start for the Twins, and Woods-Richardson is 2-2 with a 4.03 ERA and 30 strikeouts this season. This will be Woods-Richardson’s first career start against the Orioles.
Baltimore Orioles Recap
The Baltimore Orioles come into this game looking to rebound from a 9-1 loss at the hands of the Twins in Tuesday’s matchup to slip to 13-21 on the year. After this series, the Orioles will head on the road for a series against the Los Angeles Angels.
Orioles Lose Third In A Row
Cedric Mullins has a team-high 28 hits so far this season as well as 5 doubles, 7 home runs, and 21 RBIs with 5 stolen bases and a .246 batting average, while Adley Rutschman has 24 hits with 4 doubles, 4 homers, and 10 RBIs. Ryan Mountcastle has 22 hits with 6 doubles, and Tyler O’Neill has 14 hits with 3 doubles, a triple, and 2 homers with 10 RBIs. Jordan Westburg added 4 home runs, and Gunnar Henderson has a team-high 31 strikeouts as well this season. Ryan O’Hearn also chipped in 26 hits with 4 doubles and 7 home runs with 14 RBIs, and Heston Kjerstad added 3 homers and 12 RBIs.
Why the Baltimore Orioles will win
- The Orioles have won eight of their last nine games as underdogs against the Twins.
- The Twins have lost five of their last six games as favorites against AL East opponents.
- The Orioles have covered the run line in 12 of their last 13 games as underdogs against the Twins.
- The Twins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five games as favorites against AL East opponents following a home win.
Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts
- Gunnar Henderson has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances against the Twins after playing the previous day.
- Ryan Mountcastle has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances in night games against AL Central teams that held a losing record.
- Gunnar Henderson has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last six appearances against the Twins after playing the previous day.
- Adley Rutschman has recorded at least one Single in eight of the Orioles’ last nine night games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
- Ramon Laureano has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 16 appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
- Gunnar Henderson has scored at least one run in seven of the Orioles’ last eight night games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
- Charlie Morton has recorded four or more strikeouts in each of his last 11 appearances against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
- Charlie Morton has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
Minnesota Twins Recap
The Minnesota Twins come into this game looking to add on to their big win over the Orioles from Tuesday to improve to 16-20 on the year. After this series, the Twins will welcome the San Francisco Giants to town.
Twins Win Three Straight
Byron Buxton has 35 hits along with 5 doubles, a team-high 8 home runs, and 22 RBIs with 7 stolen bases and a pair of triples, while Carlos Correa has 30 hits with 8 doubles, and Willi Castro has 16 hits with 6 doubles as well. Harrison Bader added 3 home runs and 14 RBIs while Matt Wallner chipped in 5 doubles and a pair of triples, while Buxton contributed a team-high 46 strikeouts as well this season. Ty France has also added 33 hits, 8 doubles, 3 home runs, and 19 RBIs, and Trevor Larnach chipped in 4 home runs and 16 RBIs as well this season.
Why the Minnesota Twins will win
- The Orioles have lost each of their last nine games at Target Field against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
- The Twins have won eight of their last nine games at Target Field.
- The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in 10 of their last 11 night games against teams that held a losing record.
- The Twins have covered the run line in seven of their last eight home games against American League opponents.
Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts
- Ty France has recorded a Double in four of the Twins’ last five games as favorites against AL opponents.
- Byron Buxton has hit a home run in each of the Twins’ last two games against AL East opponents.
- Willi Castro has recorded an RBI in four of his last five appearances in night games against AL teams that held a losing record.
- Willi Castro has recorded at least one Single in seven of his last eight home appearances against AL opponents.
- Trevor Larnach has scored at least one run in eight of his last nine appearances in night games against AL teams that held a losing record.
- Byron Buxton has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances against AL East opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Five of the Orioles’ last six night games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Five of the Twins’ last six games as favorites against AL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
Baltimore Orioles vs. Minnesota Twins Prediction
I’m on the Twins here. Charlie Morton has just been unbackable for the Orioles this season, and I don’t expect that to change until I see otherwise. The Twins have been a team that can run hot and cold, and I just think that the Orioles will continue to slide until they decide to make a change to better this rotation. The Twins look like they’re starting to right the ship, and at a reasonable price, I’ll back them here. Give me Minnesota.