Colorado Rockies (4-23) vs Atlanta Braves (12-15)
Game Info: Monday, April 28, 2025 at 8:40 pm (Coors Field)
The Line: Betting Odds: Colorado Rockies +145 / Atlanta Braves -175 — Over/Under: 10.5
In this article, we will formulate a Braves vs Rockies prediction for this MLB game on Monday, April 28, at Coors Field in Denver, Colorado. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Atlanta Braves Betting Preview
The Atlanta Braves (12-15, 4-12 Away) are playing much better than they did at the start of the season. The Braves won seven of the previous nine games; they swept the Twins and beat the Cardinals and Diamondbacks. Atlanta won the opening two games of a three-game series at Arizona, but couldn’t sweep the D-backs, who won Game 3 6-4. Alex Verdugo led the offense with two RBI, while Spencer Schwellenbach took the loss after allowing four runs (three earned) on seven hits with six strikeouts and one walk over 6.0 innings of work.
This year, the Braves average 4.15 runs per game (18th in the MLB) on a .241/.320/.401 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Braves’ staff has a 4.42 ERA (24th) and 1.33 WHIP (20th). Austin Riley leads the Braves with a .286 batting average, six home runs, and 18 RBI this season.
Bryce Elder will take the mound for the Braves on Monday. The 25-year-old right-hander has a 0-1 record in four starts this year with a 5.57 ERA and 1.48 WHIP in 21.0 innings.
Colorado Rockies Betting Preview
The Colorado Rockies (4-23, 3-9 Home) continue to be the worst team in the MLB and are currently on a six-game losing skid. They managed to snap the previous eight-game losing run, but then were swept by the Royals and Reds. In the latest 8-1 defeat to Cincy at home, Jordan Beck drove in the lone RBI for the Rox, while Bradley Blalock took the loss after allowing six runs on seven hits with one strikeout and two walks in 4.0 innings.
This season, the Rockies average 3.30 runs per game (28th in the MLB) on a .213/.286/.349 slash line. Regarding pitching, the Rockies’ staff has a 5.33 ERA (29th) and 1.60 WHIP (30th). Brenton Doyle leads the Rockies with a .257 batting average, three home runs, and 13 RBI this season.
The projected starting pitcher for the Rockies is Ryan Feltner, who is 0-1 in five starts this season, with a 3.86 ERA and 1.32 WHIP in 25.2 innings.
Why the Rockies will cover
- The Braves have lost each of their last eight road games against NL West opponents following a loss.
- The Rockies have won three of their last four games as underdogs against NL East opponents following a home loss.
- The Braves have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six Monday road games against National League opponents.
- The Rockies have covered the run line in five of their last six games as home underdogs against NL East opponents following a loss.
- The Braves have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last three road games against opponents that held a losing record.
Total Runs Facts
- Nine of the Rockies’ last 10 night games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Each of the Braves’ last four games against NL West opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the Rockies’ last six games against NL East opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 12 of the Braves’ last 15 road games against National League opponents.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Rockies rank 30th in the league for opponent batting average this season (.293).
- The Rockies rank 30th in the league for hits allowed this season (272).
- The Braves rank T24th in the league for steals this season (15).
- The Braves rank 24th in the league for ERA this season (4.42).
Braves vs Rockies Prediction
The Braves won seven of the previous ten H2H encounters, but the teams have traded wins in the last six. Ryan Feltner has been Colorado’s best starter this year, and it’s impressive that he has an ERA below 4.00, considering the Coors Field and everything that goes with that non-pitcher-friendly stadium. Feltner had only one weak start this season, and I believe he will fare well against the Braves on Monday. In fact, I trust him more than Bryce Elder at this point, so I am going to back the Rockies to stay close and cover the run line. It’s not going to be easy as the Braves are in good form lately.