| MATCHUP | Arizona Diamondbacks | Houston Astros |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 74-67 | 72-69 |
| Spread | +1.5 -188 | -1.5 155 |
| Moneyline | +112 | -135 |
| Total | Over 9 (100) | Under 9 (-120) |
| Where | Daikin Park, Houston, Texas | |
| When | Friday, September 4, 2026 | |
| Time | 08:10 PM EDT | |
| TV | MLB.TV | |
Houston Astros Preview
The Houston Astros have a 72-69 record this season and are sitting in the 1st place of the AL West. They have a 36-36 home record and are coming off a 6-2 home win against the White Sox. They will face the Phillies and the Rays next.
The Houston Astros have a .240 batting average this season, .315 OBP, and .408 slugging percentage. Houston’s pitching staff has a 4.56 ERA and 1.36 WHIP. Yordan Alvarez is the Astros’ best hitter with a .316 batting average, while leading the team in RBI with 94, adding a team-high 37 home runs.
Cristian Javier (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Astros, with a 1-5 record, 6.45 ERA, and 1.63 WHIP.
Arizona Diamondbacks Preview
The Arizona Diamondbacks have a 74-67 record this season and are sitting in the 2nd place of the NL West. They have a 33-36 road record and are coming off a 1-0 home win against the Phillies. They will face the Royals and the Rangers next.
The Arizona Diamondbacks have a .243 batting average this season, .315 OBP, and .395 slugging percentage. Arizona’s pitching staff has a 4.16 ERA and 1.29 WHIP. Gabriel Moreno is the Diamondbacks’ best hitter with a .298 batting average. Ketel Marte leads the team in RBI with 67, while Nolan Arenado adds a team-high 21 home runs.
Merrill Kelly (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Diamondbacks, with a 9-12 record, 5.08 ERA, and 1.48 WHIP.
Arizona Diamondbacks @ Houston Astros Betting Trends: September 4, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Cristian Javier Record this season: 1-5 ERA: 6.45
- Home Record: 0-2
- Last 5 against Diamondbacks: 2-0
Why the Houston Astros will win
- The Diamondbacks have lost each of their last nine Friday games against AL West opponents.
- The Astros have won eight of their last nine games against the Diamondbacks.
- The Astros have covered the run line each of their last nine Friday games against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
- The Diamondbacks have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games against the Astros following a home win.
- The Diamondbacks have lost the first inning in five of their last six games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
- The Diamondbacks have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last seven games against AL opponents.
- The Diamondbacks have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last six night games against opponents that held a winning record.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Merrill Kelly Record this season: 9-12 ERA: 5.08
- Road Record: 5-7
- Last 5 against Astros: 0-2
Why the Arizona Diamondbacks will win
- The Astros have lost five of their last six games as favorites following a home win.
- The underdogs have won three of the last four games between the Diamondbacks and Astros.
- The Astros have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine games against the Diamondbacks following a home win.
- The Diamondbacks have covered the run line each of their last five road games against AL West opponents that held a winning record.
- The Astros have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last eight games against NL opponents.
- The Astros have trailed after 3 innings in nine of their last 11 home games against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the last seven games between the Diamondbacks and Astros at Daikin Park have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Four of the Diamondbacks’ last five games as road underdogs have gone OVER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in eight of the Astros’ last nine night games.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in five of the Diamondbacks’ last six road games.
Houston Astros Player Prop Facts
- Isaac Paredes has hit a home run in four of the Astros’ last five home games against NL opponents.
- Isaac Paredes has recorded at least one hit in each of the Astros’ last 16 home games against opponents that held a winning record.
- Yordan Alvarez ranks 1st amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.316) this season.
Arizona Diamondbacks Player Prop Facts
- Ketel Marte has hit a home run in each of the Diamondbacks’ last three night games against AL West opponents that held a winning record.
- Merrill Kelly has recorded six or more strikeouts in five of his six previous appearances with his team as a road underdog against AL West opponents.
- Gabriel Moreno has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 road appearances after not playing the previous day.
- Gabriel Moreno ranks 8th amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.298) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Astros rank 30th in the league for walks allowed this season (581).
- The Astros rank 29th in the league for steals this season (43).
- The Diamondbacks rank 1st in the league for triples this season (35).
- The Diamondbacks rank 29th in the league for strikeouts this season (963).
Diamondbacks vs Astros Prediction
The Astros are 8-1 in their last 9 meetings against the Diamondbacks and have won two of their last three meetings in Houston.
In this Diamondbacks vs Astros Prediction, the Astros are coming as -125 home favorites. I don’t like the pitching in this game, as both starters have a combined 11.53 ERA and almost 1.50+ WHIP. Kelly has given up 15 runs in three of his last four starts and Javier 3+ runs in four of his last five starts. Both bullpens have a 4+ ERA this season and even though both offenses have been struggling lately, everything indicates that they will bounce back today. Take the over 8.5 runs in this one.