| MATCHUP | Western Michigan Broncos | Buffalo Bulls |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 2-2 | 2-2 |
| Spread | -14 -108 | +14 -112 |
| Moneyline | -600 | +440 |
| Total | Over 46.5 (-108) | Under 46.5 (-112) |
| Where | Broadview Stadium, Buffalo, NY | |
| When | Saturday, October 3, 2026 | |
| Time | 01:00 PM EDT | |
| TV | ESPN+ | |
Buffalo Bulls Preview
Buffalo has a 2-2 record and are coming off a 31-28 home win against Robert Morris. They will face Toledo and UMass next. Offensively, Buffalo averages 21.2 points per game, ranking 117th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 33.2 points per game, which is 126th. Buffalo averages 314.3 total yards per game (158.8 passing and 155.5 rushing), while allowing 426.3 total yards per game (170.8 rushing and 255.5 passing).
Jason Wright leads Buffalo with 385 passing yards with 47.5% completed passes and 3 touchdowns. Messiah Burch leads the team in rushing yards with 246, while Chance Morrow has a team-high 25 receptions for 307 receiving yards. Defensively, SaVeon Brown has a team-high 26 total tackles (19 of them solo), also adding a team-high one sack.
Western Michigan Broncos Preview
Western Michigan has a 2-2 record and are coming off a 7-32 road loss against Boise State. They will face Kent State and Central Michigan next. Offensively, Western Michigan averages 24 points per game, ranking 99th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 20 points per game, which is 45th. Western Michigan averages 297.8 total yards per game (145.3 passing and 152.5 rushing), while allowing 353.5 total yards per game (161.5 rushing and 192 passing).
Broc Lowry leads Western Michigan with 527 passing yards with 65.2% completed passes and 4 touchdowns. Jalen Buckley leads the team in rushing yards with 225, while Aveion Chenault has a team-high 13 receptions for 216 receiving yards. Defensively, Dillon Moore has a team-high 25 total tackles (14 of them solo), while Domanick Moon leads the team with one sack.
Western Michigan Broncos @ Buffalo Bulls Betting Trends: Week 5
Why the Buffalo Bulls will win
- Buffalo has won three of its last four October games as a home underdog.
- Western Michigan has failed to cover the spread in six of its last seven games against teams from New York.
- The underdog has covered the spread in five of Buffalo’s last six games at Broadview Stadium.
- Buffalo has won the first quarter in each of its last three October games as a home underdog.
- The home team has won the first half in three of Buffalo’s last four games.
Why the Western Michigan Broncos will win
- The favorite has won each of Western Michigan’s last 14 games.
- Buffalo has lost four of its last five games against conference opponents.
- Buffalo has failed to cover the spread in seven of its last eight home games.
- Western Michigan has covered the spread in each of its last five October games as a favorite.
- The favorite has won the first quarter in each of Western Michigan’s last six games.
- The favorite has won the first half in each of Western Michigan’s last eight games.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Buffalo’s last five games as an underdog have gone OVER the total points line.
- Each of Western Michigan’s last four road games against non-AP-ranked teams have gone OVER the total points line.
Buffalo Bulls Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 5, Chance Morrow leads the league for targets (50) this season.
Western Michigan Broncos Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 5, Jalen Buckley ranks T2nd in the Mid-American Conference for rushing touchdowns (4) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Buffalo ranks 138th among FBS teams for average point differential in first quarters this season (-9.8).
- Buffalo has lost the first quarter in each of its last five games – longest active streak in the FBS.
- Western Michigan ranks 131st among FBS teams for yards per game this season (297.8).
- Western Michigan ranks 131st among FBS teams for passing yards per game this season (145.3).
Western Michigan vs Buffalo Prediction
In this Western Michigan vs Buffalo Prediction, Western Michigan is coming as -13.5 road favorites. Both teams have identical records so far this season but Western Michigan has better numbers both offensively and defensively, with Buffalo having a -12 point differential this season and having failed to cover the spread in all of its four games. Western Michigan also dominates this matchup historically, having won its last four meetings against the Bulls, including its last three visits in Buffalo. Take Western Michigan and lay the -13.5 points on the road.