| MATCHUP | South Florida Bulls | East Carolina Pirates |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 6-2 | 4-4 |
| Spread | +1.5 -108 | -1.5 -112 |
| Moneyline | +105 | -125 |
| Total | Over 39.5 (-108) | Under 39.5 (-112) |
| Where | Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium, Greenville, NC | |
| When | Friday, November 6, 2026 | |
| Time | 07:30 PM EST | |
| TV | ESPN2 | |
South Florida vs East Carolina Prediction
In this South Florida vs East Carolina prediction, East Carolina is coming as -2.5 home favorites. South Florida has a better record this season and have back-to-back wins where they played excellent defense, holding their opponents into just 12 points combined. They will face an East Carolina squad that has lost two of its last three games but has three consecutive home wins but have been weaker both offensively and defensively, so the road dog is barking in this matchup. South Florida has the 14th-best defense in the entire country and a +12.5 point differential and have been excellent in managing turnovers, averaging just 0.5 per game, so I expect them to force close game today or even win outright. Take South Florida and grab the +2.5 points.
East Carolina Pirates Preview
East Carolina has a 4-4 record and a 2-2 record in the American. They are coming off a 17-9 home win against Temple and will face Charlotte and Army next.
Offensively, East Carolina averages 24 points per game, ranking 94th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 24.1 points per game, which is 64th. East Carolina averages 351.0 total yards per game (186.5 passing and 164.5 rushing), while allowing 336.4 total yards per game (139.8 rushing and 196.6 passing). They average 68.1 plays per game and 5.2 yards per play on offense, while allowing 68.8 plays per game and 4.9 yards per play on defense. East Carolina averages 18.1 first downs per game on offense and 18.8 first downs per game on defense. They have turned the ball over 1.8 times per game and are forcing 1.5 turnovers per game.
Mitch Griffis leads East Carolina with 753 passing yards with 54.8% completed passes and 4 touchdowns. TJ Engleman Jr. leads the team in rushing yards with 689, while Ray Ray Joseph has a team-high 303 receiving yards and 33 receptions. Defensively, DJ Johnson Jr. has a team-high 56 total tackles (24 of them solo), while Jasiyah Robinson and Preston Carr are tied for the team lead with 2.5 sacks.
No Injuries to Report for East Carolina
South Florida Bulls Preview
South Florida has a 6-2 record and a 2-2 record in the American. They are coming off a 30-10 home win against UAB and will face Memphis and Florida Atlantic next.
Offensively, South Florida averages 27.0 points per game, ranking 76th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 14.5 points per game, which is 10th. South Florida averages 314.6 total yards per game (166.6 passing and 148.0 rushing), while allowing 306.6 total yards per game (128.3 rushing and 178.4 passing). They average 58.9 plays per game and 5.3 yards per play on offense, while allowing 63.8 plays per game and 4.8 yards per play on defense. South Florida averages 18.6 first downs per game on offense and 17.0 first downs per game on defense. They have turned the ball over 0.5 times per game and are forcing 1.1 turnovers per game.
Michael Van Buren Jr. leads South Florida with 1,273 passing yards with 64.1% completed passes and 6 touchdowns. D.J. Crowther leads the team in rushing yards with 578, while Bryson Rodgers has a team-high 345 receiving yards and 33 receptions. Defensively, Ayden Jackson has a team-high 42 total tackles (27 of them solo), while C.J. Hicks leads the team with 5.0 sacks.
Injury Report
· A. Branch WR Questionable – Undisclosed Oct 18, ’26
· J. Alexis WR Questionable – Undisclosed Oct 18, ’26
South Florida Bulls @ East Carolina Pirates Betting Trends: Week 10
Why the East Carolina Pirates will win
- East Carolina has won each of its last six games against conference opponents at Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium.
- South Florida has lost 12 of its last 13 November games as an underdog against non-AP-ranked teams.
- East Carolina has covered the spread in 10 of its last 11 games against teams from Florida.
- South Florida has lost the first half in six of its last seven November games as a road underdog against non-AP-ranked teams.
Why the South Florida Bulls will win
- South Florida has won five of its last seven games as an underdog.
- South Florida has covered the spread in four of its last five November games as a road underdog against non-AP-ranked teams.
- South Florida has won the first half in each of its last three games.
Total Points Facts
- Each of East Carolina’s last six games as a favorite against non-AP-ranked teams have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Eight of South Florida’s last nine road games in November have gone OVER the total points line.
East Carolina Pirates Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 10, Ray Ray Joseph leads East Carolina for receptions (33) this season.
South Florida Bulls Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 10, D.J. Crowther leads South Florida for touchdowns (8) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- East Carolina ranks T8th among FBS teams for Q1 opponent points per game this season (2.0).
- East Carolina ranks 130th among FBS teams for 3rd down conversion percentage this season (31.3).
- South Florida ranks T4th among FBS teams for Q3 opponent points per game this season (1.6).
- South Florida ranks 6th among FBS teams for H2 opponent points per game this season (5.9).