| MATCHUP | Incarnate Word Cardinals | Texas State Bobcats |
|---|---|---|
| Team Records | 2-1 | 1-2 |
| Spread | +30.5 -105 | -30.5 -115 |
| Moneyline | +2000 | -6500 |
| Total | Over 65.5 (-105) | Under 65.5 (-115) |
| Where | UFCU Stadium, San Marcos, TX | |
| When | Saturday, September 26, 2026 | |
| Time | 06:00 PM EDT | |
| TV | USA Net | |
Incarnate Word Cardinals Betting Preview
The Incarnate Word Cardinals lost to Northern Arizona, beat Houston Christian, and they play Stephen F. Austin next. Incarnate Word has won 5 of its last 7 games. Emmett Brown is completing 66 percent of his passes for 812 yards, 4 touchdowns, and 4 interceptions. Isaiah Champagne and Zach Phipps have combined for 434 receiving yards and 2 touchdowns, while Price Morgan has 14 receptions.
The Incarnate Word Cardinals’ ground game averages 225 yards per contest, and Lontrell Turner leads with 208 yards and 4 touchdowns. On defense, Incarnate Word allows 25 points and 289.3 yards per game. Christian Barney leads the Incarnate Word Cardinals with 29 tackles, Mekhi Brown has 2 sacks, and Patrick Batiste has 3 pass deflections.
Texas State Bobcats Betting Preview
The Texas State Bobcats lost to UTSA, beat North Texas, and they play San Diego State next. Texas State has lost 7 of its last 12 games. Brad Jackson is completing 64 percent of his passes for 610 yards, 5 touchdowns, and 3 interceptions. Kylen Evans and Chris Dawn Jr. have combined for 373 receiving yards and 3 touchdowns, while Tucker Cusano has 4 receptions.
The Texas State Bobcats’ ground game averages 262.3 yards per contest, and Torrance Burgess Jr. leads with 397 yards on 54 carries. On defense, Texas State allows 41.7 points and 506.3 yards per game. Jayden Bradley leads the Texas State Bobcats with 25 tackles, Tymere Jackson has 1 sack, and Trez Moore has 1 interception.
Why the Texas State Bobcats will win
- Texas State has won nine of its last 11 games against non-conference opponents at UFCU Stadium.
Why the Incarnate Word Cardinals will win
- Texas State has failed to cover the spread in three of its last four home games in September.
Texas State Bobcats Player Prop Facts
- Heading into Week 4, Davian Jackson ranks T6th amongst FBS players for touchdowns (6) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Texas State ranks 137th among FBS teams for 1st downs against this season (81).
- Texas State ranks 135th among FBS teams for H2 opponent points per game this season (20.7).
Incarnate Word vs Texas State Prediction
Texas State entered this season as a conference contender, and I haven’t been all that impressed up to this point. There’s still time to turn things around, and maybe that win over North Texas gets these guys in gear. I’m looking at the over. Texas State has a high-powered offense that can score quickly and should do a lot of it against Incarnate Word. However, Texas State has been dreadful defensively up to this point. IW should have its chances to score. This should be a high-scoring game even if Texas State does most of the heavy lifting. Give me the over.

