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Tennessee vs Kentucky Prediction 2/11/25 College Basketball Picks

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Kentucky (16-7) vs Tennessee (20-4)

February 11, 2025 at 07:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: Kentucky +1.5 — Over/Under: 149.5

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In this article, we will formulate a Tennessee vs Kentucky prediction for this College Basketball game on Tuesday, February 11th at Rupp Arena in Lexington, Kentucky. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Basketball matchup.

Tennessee Volunteers Betting Preview

The Tennessee Volunteers are 20-4 (7-4) this year after they defeated Oklahoma by a score of 70-52 in their last game. Tennessee led 45-25 at halftime, but they were outscored 27-25 in the second half in the win. The Volunteers shot 60.4% from the field, 42.9% on three-pointers, and 60% on free throws in the game. Chaz Lanier led Tennessee with 21 points and five rebounds, while Zakai Zeigler added 17 points and nine assists in the game. 

Prior to that win, the Volunteers defeated Missouri by a score of 85-81 and Florida by a score of 64-44. Tennessee has won three games in a row and they are currently fifth in the SEC standings with a 7-4 record. Tennessee has scored 74.8 points per game and they have allowed 59.3 points per game, while also averaging 38.4 rebounds and 16.0 assists per game this season. Chaz Lanier is averaging 17.7 points, 3.4 rebounds, and 1.0 steals per game, while Zakai Zeigler is averaging 12.9 points, 3.5 rebounds, and 7.5 assists per game this year. Tennessee is shooting 45.2% from the field, 74.9% on free throws, and 34.3% on three-pointers this season. 

Kentucky Wildcats Betting Preview

The Kentucky Wildcats are 16-7 (5-5) this season after they defeated South Carolina by a score of 80-57 in their last game. Kentucky led 33-19 at halftime and added 47 points in the second half in the blowout win. The Wildcats shot 48.4% from the field, 34.8% on three-pointers, and 92.3% on free throws in the game. Otega Oweh led Kentucky with 17 points and four rebounds, while Brandon Garrison added 15 points and one rebound in the game. 

Prior to that win, the Wildcats lost to Ole Miss by a score of 98-84 and Arkansas by a score of 89-79. Kentucky has lost four of their last six games and they are currently tied for eighth in the SEC standings with a 5-5 record. Kentucky has scored 86.7 points per game and they have allowed 76.6 points per game, while also averaging 40.2 rebounds and 17.9 assists per game this season. Otega Oweh is averaging 16.0 points, 4.5 rebounds, and 1.6 assists per game, while Jaxson Robinson is their second-leading scorer, but is out for this game. Kentucky is shooting 48.5% from the field, 73% on free throws, and 37.9% on three-pointers this season. Kentucky will meet Texas after this game.

Why Tennessee will beat Kentucky 

  • Tennessee has won each of its last seven night games following a road win.
  • Kentucky has lost three of its last four games against Top 5 AP-ranked opponents.
  • Tennessee has won the first half in 18 of its last 24 games.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of Kentucky’s last nine night games against Conference opponents has produced a total of 150+ points.
  • Each of Tennessee’s last nine Tuesday night road games against the Southeastern Conference has produced a total of 143 or fewer points.

Tennessee vs Kentucky Prediction 

Both of these teams come into this matchup ranked in the top 15, but Kentucky will have the home-court advantage here. The Wildcats haven’t played very well over the last three weeks, as they have lost four of their last six games, but they are shooting 48.5% from the field this year. Tennessee has won three games in a row and their defense continues to be dominant, as they have allowed 59.3 points per game this year. This is going to be an interesting game, as each team plays at a very different pace, but I just can’t trust Kentucky’s defense. I know the Wildcats beat Tennessee on the road by a score of 78-73 a couple of weeks ago, but I think Tennessee gets revenge here, especially with Robinson out. Take Tennessee to win on the road. 

David Racey's Pick: Tennessee ML

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