Mississippi State (14-3) vs Ole Miss (15-2)
Game Info: Saturday, January 18, 2025 at 6:00 pm (Humphrey Coliseum)
The Line: Betting Odds: Mississippi State -5.5 — Over/Under: 147.5
The Ole Miss Rebels are visiting the Mississippi State Bulldogs on Saturday, January 18th at the Humphrey Coliseum. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s an Ole Miss Rebels vs Mississippi State Bulldogs Prediction. We will examine:
The Mississippi State Bulldogs’ recent form and player performance
The Ole Miss Rebels’ recent form and player performance
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Mississippi State Bulldogs
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Ole Miss Rebels
Recent betting trends in games played between Ole Miss Rebels and Mississippi State Bulldogs
A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Ole Miss Rebels vs Mississippi State Bulldogs game
Mississippi State Mississippi State Preview
The Mississippi State Bulldogs have a 14-3 record this season and are sitting in the 7th place in the SEC. Mississippi State is coming off a 66-88 loss to Auburn. The Mississippi State is 9-8 against the spread, and 9-8 in over/under while playing having a 7-1 home record.
Offensively, Mississippi State is averaging 82.8 points per game, which ranks 30th in the nation. Defensively, they allow 69.5 points per game (119th). The Bulldogs shoot 46.7% from the field (98th) and 32.7% from beyond the arc (247th). The Bulldogs shoot 70.6% from the free-throw line (222nd) and are grabbing 39.1 rebounds per game (47th).
Josh Hubbard leads Mississippi State in scoring with an average of 17 points and 3 assists, while Claudell Harris adds 11.2 points and 3.1 rebounds.
Ole Miss Rebels Preview
The Ole Miss Rebels have a 15-2 record this season and are sitting in second place in the SEC. The Rebels are coming off a 74-64 win over Alabama. The Rebels are 12-5 against the spread, and 6-11 in over/under, while having a 3-1 road record this season.
Offensively, Ole Miss is averaging 78.7 points per game, which ranks 93rd in the nation. Defensively, they are allowing 64.6 points per game (31st). The Rebels shoot 45% from the field (185th) and 35.4% from beyond the arc (103rd). The Rebels shoot 73.6% from the free throw line (120th) and are grabbing 35.2 rebounds per game (227th).
Sean Pedulla leads Ole Miss in scoring this season, with an average of 13.9 points and 3.6 assists, while Jaylen Murray adds 11.9 points and a team-high 4.1 assists.
Why the Mississippi State Bulldogs will win
- Ole Miss has lost 16 of its last 17 games against AP-ranked opponents.
- Mississippi State has won 11 of its last 12 day games against the Southeastern Conference at Humphrey Coliseum.
- Ole Miss has lost the first half in 10 of its last 12 games against AP-ranked opponents.
Why the Ole Miss Rebels will win
- Ole Miss has won nine of its last 10 games.
- Mississippi State has lost 24 of its last 32 games against AP-ranked opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Eighteen of Mississippi State’s last 19 day games against Conference opponents have produced a total of 143 or fewer points.
- Eight of Ole Miss’ last nine games have produced a total of 142 or fewer points.
Ole Miss Rebels vs Mississippi State Bulldogs Prediction
Mississippi State is 4-1 in their last 5 meetings against Ole Miss, and are 4-1 against the spread. Over is 5-1 in their last 6 meetings and in their most recent matchup last season, Mississippi State won 83-71 at home, covering the spread, as the game went over the point total.
In this Ole Miss Rebels vs Mississippi State Bulldogs Prediction, Mississippi State is coming as -5.5 home favorites. Both teams have been playing extremely well this season, as the Bulldogs are a top-30 offensive team and the Rebels a top-30 defensive team. Mississippi State is coming off back-to-back losses, and are 2-4 against the spread in their last 6 home games. On the other hand, the Rebels are coming in red-hot, as they are 9-1 in their last 10 games and 4-0 against the spread. I expect Ole Miss to keep this one close, so take the Ole Miss Rebels and lay the points on the road.