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New Mexico State vs Sam Houston State Prediction 3/11/2026 Today’s College Basketball Picks

NMSU’s Jemel Jones (21) makes a pass during a game against UTEP at the Pan American Center in Las Cruces, New Mexico, on Saturday, Feb. 21, 2026.

NMSU’s Jemel Jones (21) makes a pass during a game against UTEP at the Pan American Center in Las Cruces, New Mexico, on Saturday, Feb. 21, 2026.

MATCHUP New Mexico State Aggies Sam Houston State Bearkats
Team Records 16-15 21-10
Spread +4.5 -110 -4.5 -110
Moneyline +160 -192
Total Over 153.5 (-108) Under 153.5 (-112)
Where Propst Arena, Huntsville, AL
When Wednesday, March 11, 2026
Time 09:00 PM EDT
TV ESPN+
The New Mexico State Aggies and the Sam Houston Bearkats meet Wednesday in college basketball action from the Orleans Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a New Mexico State Aggies vs. Sam Houston Bearkats prediction.

New Mexico State Aggies Recap

The New Mexico State Aggies come into this game looking to add on to their 68-63 win over Jacksonville State last time out.

Aggies Searching For Another Upset

Jemel Jones leads the Aggies in scoring with 17.8 PPG along with 4.3 RPG and 2.5 APG while Julius Mims has 10.9 PPG with a team-high 8.6 RPG to lead the Aggies in rebounding as the only other double-digit scorer for New Mexico State up to this point in the year. Anthony Wrzeszcz has 7.5 PPG while Jayland Randall has 9 PPG with 3.1 RPG. Gabe Pickens has a team-high 3.1 APG to lead the Aggies in assists and Elijah Elliott also has 8.3 PPG up to this point in the year. As a team, New Mexico State is averaging 75.5 PPG on 43% shooting from the field, 33% from three and 73.3% from the foul line this season.

Sam Houston Bearkats Recap

The Sam Houston Bearkats come into the conference tournament as the 2-seed, finishing the year at 21-10 overall including a 13-7 mark in C-USA conference play.

Bearkats Looking For Revenge In Conference Tournament

Po’Boigh King leads the Bearkats in scoring with 14.4 PPG with 2 RPG while Kashie Natt has 10.4 PPG with 7.9 RPG to lead the Bearkats in rebounding and Isaiah Manning has 10.7 PPG with 3.9 RPG. Veljko Ilic has 11.2 PPG with 6.4 RPG and Jacob Walker has 11.2 PPG with 2.3 APG and 2.1 RPG to cap off the group of double-digit scorers for Sam Houston so far this season. Justin Begg also has 9.5 PPG with 2.6 RPG and 3.6 APG and Damon Nicholas Jr. has 8.7 PPG with 5.3 RPG and Jacobe Coleman has 8.4 PPG with 2.5 RPG. As a team, Sam Houston is averaging 83 PPG on 46.9% shooting from the field, 37.6% from three and 72.9% from the foul line so far this season.

New Mexico State Aggies @ Sam Houston State Bearkats Betting Trends: March 11, 2026


Why the Sam Houston State Bearkats will win

Why the New Mexico State Aggies will win

Total Points Facts

Matchup/League Facts

New Mexico State Aggies vs. Sam Houston Bearkats Prediction


I’m on Sam Houston here. I think that New Mexico State is the 10-seed for a reason, they didn’t just accidentally fall into that placement. The Bearkats are still the far better team as far as I’m concerned and I think Sam Houston gets their revenge after losing to New Mexico State in the lone meeting this season. Give me Sam Houston.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Sam Houston State -5.5

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