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Cal Poly vs San Jose State Prediction College Basketball Picks 12/14/24

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San Jose State (5-6) vs Cal Poly (5-6)

December 14, 2024 at 10:00 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: San Jose State -5.5 / Cal Poly +5.5 — Over/Under: 154.5

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The Cal Poly Mustangs are visiting the San Jose State Spartans on Saturday, December 14th at the Provident Credit Union Event Center. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Cal Poly Mustangs vs San Jose State Spartans Prediction.

San Jose State Spartans Preview

The San Jose State Spartans have a 5-6 record this season and are coming off a 117-80 win over Lincoln (CA). The Spartans are 6-3 against the spread, and 5-3-1 in over/under, while they have a 1-2 home record. 

Offensively, San Jose is averaging 75.2 points per game, which ranks 194th in the nation. Defensively, they allow 70.8 points per game (173rd). The Spartans shoot 46.9% from the field (105th) and 33.5% from beyond the arc (200th). The Spartans shoot 77.9% from the free-throw line (29th) and are grabbing 35.2 rebounds per game (252nd).

Josh Uduje leads San Jose in scoring with an average of 16.7 points and 4.5 rebounds, while Will McClendon adds 13.3 points and 3.2 rebounds. San Jose State will face Kennesaw State and Boise State following this one.

Cal Poly Mustangs Preview

The Cal Poly Mustangs have a 5-6 record this season and are coming off a 91-102 loss by Cal State Northridge. The Mustangs are 6-4 against the spread, and 7-3 in over/under while having a 2-5 road record.

Offensively, Cal Poly is averaging 81.6 points per game, which is 69th in the nation. Defensively, they are allowing 83 points per game, which is the 7th-worst nationally. The Mustangs shoot 46.8% from the field (109th), and 34% from beyond the arc (175th). The Mustangs shoot 75.8% from the free throw line (61st) and are grabbing 37 rebounds per game (164th).

Owen Koonce leads Cal Poly in scoring this season, with an average of 16.9 points and a team-high 5.3 rebounds, while Jarred Hyder adds 13.8 points, 3.3 rebounds, and a team-high 2.9 assists. Cal Poly will meet Denver, Omaha, and UC Irvine after this one.

Why the San Jose State Spartans will win

  • Cal Poly has lost each of its last 10 games following a home loss.
  • San Jose State has won each of its last six night games against the Big West Conference at Provident Credit Union Event Center.
  • Cal Poly has lost the first half in each of its last 10 games against the Mountain West Conference.

Why the Cal Poly Mustangs will win

  • San Jose State has lost 10 of its last 12 games at Provident Credit Union Event Center.
  • Cal Poly has won four of its last five night games against non-conference opponents.
  • San Jose State has lost the first half in six of its last eight games at Provident Credit Union Event Center.

Cal Poly Mustangs vs San Jose State Spartans Prediction

Cal Poly is 4-1 in their last 5 meetings against San Jose State, and are 4-1 against the spread. Under is 3-1 in their last 4 meetings. In their most recent meeting last season, Cal Poly won 81-77 in overtime at home. In this Cal Poly Mustangs vs San Jose State Spartans Prediction, San Jose State is coming as a -5.5 home favorites. Cal Poly is better offensively, scoring 6.4 points more than San Jose State, while San Jose State is better defensively, allowing 12.2 points less, as the Mustangs have one of the worst defenses in the whole nation. The Spartans are winning by an average of 4.4 points this season, while the Mustangs are losing by 1.4 points. The value here lies with the home team, so pick the San Jose State Spartans and lay the points at home.

Nikos Lagouretos's Pick: San Jose State Spartans -5.5

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