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Arkansas State vs UL Monroe Prediction 2/28/25 College Basketball Picks

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UL Monroe (7-23) vs Arkansas State (21-9)

February 28, 2025 at 07:30 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: UL Monroe +16.5 — Over/Under: 149.5

(Get latest betting odds)

The Arkansas State Red Wolves and UL Monroe Warhawks meet Friday in college basketball action at the Fant-Ewing Coliseum. Here’s an Arkansas State vs UL Monroe Prediction. This article will include an Arkansas State vs UL Monroe Pick.

Arkansas State Red Wolves Betting Preview 

The Arkansas State Red Wolves are coming off wins over UL Monroe and Louisiana. Arkansas State has seen four of its nine losses come in the month of February. 

The Arkansas State Red Wolves are averaging 78.7 points on 42.6 percent shooting and allowing 69.5 points on 40.1 percent shooting. Taryn Todd is averaging 15 points and 4.8 rebounds, while Joseph Pinion is averaging 12 points and 1.1 assists. Kobe Julien is the third double-digit scorer and Izaiyah Nelson is grabbing 8.2 rebounds. The Arkansas State Red Wolves are shooting 32.2 percent from beyond the arc and 72.1 percent from the free throw line. The Arkansas State Red Wolves are allowing 30.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 37.8 rebounds per game.

UL Monroe Warhawks Betting Preview 

The UL Monroe Warhawks are coming off losses to Arkansas State and James Madison. It’s senior night for UL Monroe, a team with five seniors on its roster. 

The UL Monroe Warhawks are averaging 69 points on 40.6 percent shooting and allowing 75 points on 44.8 percent shooting. Jalen Bolden is averaging 13.3 points and 6.2 rebounds, while Coltie Young is averaging 12.1 points and 3.2 rebounds. Tyreese Watson is the third double-digit scorer, and Makai Willis is dishing 0.8 assists. The UL Monroe Warhawks are shooting 32.5 percent from beyond the arc and 71.2 percent from the free-throw line. The UL Monroe Warhawks are allowing 32.9 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 33.5 rebounds per game.

Why the Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks will win

  • The home team has won three of Louisiana-Monroe’s last four games.
  • Arkansas State has lost the first half in six of its last seven games at Fant-Ewing Coliseum.

Why the Arkansas State Red Wolves will win

  • Louisiana-Monroe has lost each of its last 10 Friday games against Conference opponents.
  • Arkansas State has won four of its last five road games against Conference opponents.
  • Arkansas State has won the first half in seven of its last eight games.

Total Points Facts

  • Nine of Arkansas State’s last 10 night games have produced a total of 149 or fewer points.
  • Eight of Louisiana-Monroe’s last 10 night games against Conference opponents at Fant-Ewing Coliseum have produced a total of 146 or fewer points.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Louisiana-Monroe ranks 27th among Division 1 teams for opponent free throws made per game this season (10.8).
  • Arkansas State ranks 15th among Division 1 teams for field goal attempts per game this season (63.7).
  • Arkansas State ranks 19th among Division 1 teams for opponent field goal percentage this season (39.9%).

Arkansas State vs UL Monroe Injury Report

Neither Arkansas State nor UL Monroe has a player listed on its injury report.

Arkansas State vs UL Monroe Prediction

Arkansas State beat UL Monroe by 25 points six days ago. Arkansas State is one of the better teams in the Sun Belt, 16-11-1 ATS on the year, and has six road wins. Not a surprise to see this line what it is. However, it’s senior night for UL Monroe, and five of its seven wins this season have come at home. After getting rocked to sleep by Arkansas State less than a week ago, you’d expect UL Monroe to play with more effort. Senior night, if UL Monroe can’t get up for this one and put together a decent performance… I’ll lean toward the home dog.

Randy Chambers's Pick: UL Monroe +16.5

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