LSU (6-4) vs Vanderbilt (6-4)
Game Info: Saturday, November 23, 2024 at 7:45 pm (Tiger Stadium)
The Line: Betting Odds: LSU -8.5 / Vanderbilt +8.5 — Over/Under: 51.5
The Vanderbilt Commodores and the LSU Tigers meet Saturday in college football action from Tiger Stadium. Here’s a Vanderbilt vs LSU prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Vanderbilt vs LSU pick. We will examine:
The Vanderbilt Commodores’ recent form and player performance
The LSU Tigers’ recent form and player performance
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Vanderbilt Commodores
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the LSU Tigers
Recent betting trends in games played between Vanderbilt and LSU
A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Vanderbilt vs LSU game
Vanderbilt Commodores Betting Preview
This year the Commodores kicked things off with a 2-2 run, falling to Georgia State and Missouri in that time. Vanderbilt hit a winning streak versus Alabama, Kentucky, and Ball State before another loss to Texas and a win over Auburn.
The Commodores fell back into the loss column against South Carolina in their last outing on November 9. Vanderbilt was outscored 21-7 in the second half during a 28-7 result. Diego Pavia threw for 166 yards in the defeat and also led the rush with 65 yards and a score.
LSU Tigers Betting Preview
Over on the Tigers’ side, they lost their opener versus USC, then took out Nicholls, South Carolina, UCLA, South Alabama, Ole Miss, and Arkansas in succession. LSU would fall in their next pair however, losing to Texas A&M 38-23 and Alabama 42-13.
Matched up against Florida last weekend, LSU gave up points in every quarter, getting outscored 14-3 in the fourth during a 27-16 loss. QB Garrett Nussmeier finished with 260 yards and a TD. Aaron Anderson caught seven balls for 72 yards and a score to lead the receivers.
Why the LSU Tigers will win
- LSU has won 19 of its last 20 games against non-AP-ranked teams at Tiger Stadium.
- Vanderbilt has lost 21 of its last 24 road games against conference opponents.
- LSU has covered the spread in each of its last four November games as a home favorite against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Vanderbilt has failed to cover the spread in three of its last four November games as an underdog against non-AP-ranked teams.
Why the Vanderbilt Commodores will win
- The road team has won four of Vanderbilt’s last five games.
- LSU has lost each of its last three games against conference opponents.
- The underdog has covered the spread in seven of Vanderbilt’s last eight games.
- LSU has failed to cover the spread in each of its last three games against conference opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Vanderbilt’s last six November games as an underdog against non-AP-ranked teams has gone UNDER the total points line.
- Each of LSU’s last four games as a favorite has gone UNDER the total points line.
Vanderbilt vs LSU Prediction
I’ll probably just stick with LSU. The Tigers need to get over their stunner loss to Florida quickly, though. LSU mustered 392 yards (262 passing) and 25 first downs in that one but maintained a tepid 4.3 yards per play and allowed seven sacks. The Tigers have hit the skids in some tough matchups over three straight losses, scoring fewer than 17 points in each of the last two.
Over on the Vanderbilt side, they mustered a tepid 274 yards (108 rushing) and 4.6 yards per play in their latest loss to South Carolina. The Commodores gave up 452 yards (214 rushing), 7.2 yards per play, 25 first downs, and a 9-of-12 success rate on third-down conversions on the other side. Vanderbilt has just 24 combined points over their last two games, and they’re probably going to have major issues scoring here as well.