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Sacramento State vs Fresno State Prediction 9/12/2026 Today’s College Football Picks

Oct 10, 2025; Fort Collins, Colorado, USA; Fresno State Bulldogs tight end Richie Anderson III (88) is tackled by Colorado State Rams defensive back D'Angelo Hagans Jr. (32) as defensive lineman Moso'Oipala Tuitele (91) and tight end Jake Tarwater (87) defend in the third quarter at Sonny Lubick Field at Canvas Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Isaiah J. Downing-Imagn Images

Oct 10, 2025; Fort Collins, Colorado, USA; Fresno State Bulldogs tight end Richie Anderson III (88) is tackled by Colorado State Rams defensive back D'Angelo Hagans Jr. (32) as defensive lineman Moso'Oipala Tuitele (91) and tight end Jake Tarwater (87) defend in the third quarter at Sonny Lubick Field at Canvas Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Isaiah J. Downing-Imagn Images

MATCHUP Sacramento State Hornets Fresno State Bulldogs
Team Records 1-1 0-1
Spread +18.5 -115 -18.5 -105
Moneyline +625 -950
Total Over 45.5 (-102) Under 45.5 (-118)
Where Valley Children's Stadium, Fresno, CA
When Saturday, September 12, 2026
Time 10:30 PM EDT
TV CBSSN
In this article we will formulate a Sacramento State vs Fresno State prediction for this College Football game on Saturday, September 12th at Valley Children’s Stadium in Fresno, California. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this Week 2 matchup. 

Sacramento State Hornets Betting Preview

The Sacramento State Hornets are 1-1 this season after they defeated Mississippi Valley State by a score of 52-0 in week one. Sacramento State led 31-0 at halftime and cruised to the blowout win in the second half. The Hornets out gained MVSU by a total of 453-147, went 7-14 on third downs, and lost the turnover battle by a total of 2-1 in the game. Jackson Sharman threw for 247 yards, four touchdowns, and one interception, while Matt Coleman caught six passes for 141 yards and three scores. Daniel Swinney rushed eight times for 58 yards and one touchdown in the win. 

Prior to that game, Sacramento State lost to Eastern Michigan by a score of 28-17 in week zero. The Hornets trailed 21-10 at halftime, but only managed seven points in the second half in the loss. Carson Conklin threw for 222 yards and one interception, while Onterrio Smith Jr had nine receptions for 86 yards. Isaiah Ene rushed three times for 44 yards and one score in the loss. 

Fresno State Bulldogs Betting Preview

The Fresno State Bulldogs are 0-1 this year after they lost to USC by a score of 39-0 last week. Fresno State trailed 30-0 at halftime and never got anything going offensively in the shutout loss. The Bulldogs were out gained by a total of 552-116, went 2-10 on third downs, and tied the turnover battle at two in the game. Jayden Mandal threw for 77 yards and one interception, while Harold Duvall caught two passes for 34 yards. Rayshon Luke rushed eight times for 21 yards in the loss. 

Last year, Fresno State went 9-4 (5-3) last season and they finished tied for fifth in the Mountain West standings. Fresno State started the season with a 31-7 loss to Kansas, but they followed that up with a 42-14 win over Georgia Southern. The Bulldogs were 5-1 through six games, but they lost three of the next five. Fresno State did finish the regular season with a win over San Jose State and they defeated Miami (OH) by a score of 18-3 in the Arizona Bowl. The Bulldogs scored 25.8 points per game in 2025, while they allowed 18.8 points against per game on defense. 

Why the Fresno State Bulldogs will win

Why the Sacramento State Hornets will win

Total Points Facts

Fresno State Bulldogs Player Prop Facts

Sacramento State Hornets Player Prop Facts

Matchup/League Facts

Sacramento State vs Fresno State Prediction 

Fresno State was blown out by a very good USC team last week and while it was an ugly loss, you can’t take much from it. The Bulldogs are built to be successful against teams from their own conference or teams from the group of five, not against elite teams in the country. Sacramento State bounced back from their loss against EMU with a win last week and I think they will continue to get better. I like Fresno State to win, but I am taking Sacramento State with the points.

David Racey's Pick: Sacramento State +18.5

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