Florida (5-5) vs Ole Miss (8-2)
Game Info: Saturday, November 23, 2024 at 12:00 pm (Ben Hill Griffin Stadium)
The Line: Betting Odds: Florida +10.5 / Ole Miss -10.5 — Over/Under: 55.5
In this article, we will formulate an Ole Miss vs Florida prediction for this College Football game on Saturday, November 23rd at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium in Gainesville, Florida. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this week 13 matchup.
Ole Miss Rebels Betting Preview
The Ole Miss Rebels are 8-2 (4-2) this year after they defeated Georgia by a score of 28-10 in their last game. Ole Miss had their lead cut to 16-10 in the third quarter, but they scored the last 12 points to pull away for the win. The Rebels outgained UGA by a total of 397-245, won the turnover battle 3-1, and went 4-13 on third down in the game. Jaxson Dart threw for 199 yards, one touchdown, and one interception, while Cayden Lee caught four passes for 81 yards in the game.
Prior to that win, the Rebels defeated Arkansas by a score of 63-31 and Oklahoma by a score of 26-14. The Ole Miss offense has scored 40.7 points per game with 365.7 passing yards and 173.9 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 12.9 points per game this season. Jaxson Dart has completed 70.8% of his passes for 3,409 yards, 22 touchdowns, and four interceptions, while Tre Harris (questionable) has caught 59 passes for 987 yards and six scores.
Florida Gators Betting Preview
The Florida Gators are 5-5 (3-4) this season after they defeated LSU by a score of 27-16 in their last game. Florida trailed 13-10 in the third quarter, but they scored 17 of the last 20 points for the win. The Gators were outgained by a total of 392-339, won the turnover battle 1-0, and went 3-9 on third down in the game. DJ Lagway threw for 226 yards and one touchdown, while Jadan Baugh rushed for 65 yards and one score.
Prior to that win, the Gators lost to Texas by a score of 49-17 and Georgia by a score of 34-20. The Florida offense has scored 28 points per game with 231.6 passing yards and 147.3 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 26.4 points per game this season. DJ Lagway has completed 58.5% of his passes for 1,297 yards, seven touchdowns, and five interceptions, while Elijhah Badger has caught 30 passes for 691 yards and three scores.
Why Ole Miss will beat Florida
- Florida has lost eight of its last nine games against AP-ranked teams.
- Ole Miss has won each of its last five road games against non-AP-ranked teams.
- Ole Miss has covered the spread in each of its last three road games against non-AP-ranked teams.
Total Points Facts
- Seven of Ole Miss’ last eight games as a favorite have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Four of Florida’s last five November games against top-15 AP-ranked teams have gone OVER the total points line.
Matchup/League Facts
- Florida ranks T18th among FBS teams for average point differential in fourth quarters this season (+4.1).
- Florida ranks T19th among FBS teams for Q4 points per game this season (8.9).
- Ole Miss ranks T1st among FBS teams for average point differential in first quarters this season (+10.0).
- Ole Miss ranks 2nd among FBS teams for Q1 points per game this season (12.3).
Ole Miss vs Florida Prediction
Ole Miss comes into this matchup after picking up a huge win over Georgia in their last game, and they have won three games in a row. The Rebels have a pretty fast-paced offense, but their defense has been the highlight of the season. Florida is coming off of an upset win over LSU at home, but they did lose by double digits to Texas and Georgia in the two games prior. I do expect Florida to fight in this game, but the Ole Miss defense will be the difference. Take Ole Miss on the road.