Ohio State (10-1) vs Michigan (6-5)
Game Info: Saturday, November 30, 2024 at 12:00 pm (Ohio Stadium)
The Line: Betting Odds: Ohio State -20.5 / Michigan +20.5 — Over/Under: 48.5
The Michigan Wolverines and the Ohio State Buckeyes meet Saturday in college football action from Ohio Stadium. Here’s a Michigan vs Ohio State prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Michigan vs Ohio State pick. We will examine:
The Michigan Wolverines’ recent form and player performance
The Ohio State Buckeyes’ recent form and player performance
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Michigan Wolverines
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Ohio State Buckeyes
Recent betting trends in games played between Michigan and Ohio State
A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Michigan vs Ohio State game
Michigan Wolverines Betting Preview
Michigan went 4-2 over their first six games, beating Fresno State, Arkansas State, USC, and Minnesota in that time. The Wolverines hit a 1-3 run in the next quartet with losses to Illinois, Oregon, and Indiana among a win over Michigan State.
In the Northwestern game over the weekend, the Wolverines posted double-digit points in three of four quarters along the way to a 50-6 blowout win. Davis Warren threw for 195 yards and a score, but Kalel Mullings carried the majority load with 12 totes for 92 yards and three scores.
Ohio State Buckeyes Betting Preview
Over on the Ohio State side, they beat Akron, Western Michigan, Marshall, Michigan State, and Iowa before a one-point loss to Oregon. The Buckeyes recovered with wins over Nebraska, Penn State, Purdue, and Northwestern in the next four.
Matched up against Indiana on Saturday, the Buckeyes were down early but quickly recovered on 28 points between two quarters in an eventual win 38-15. Will Howard threw for 201 yards, two scores, and an interception. TreVeyon Henderson added nine totes for 68 yards and a score.
Why the Ohio State Buckeyes will win
- Ohio State has won each of its last 54 games against non-AP-ranked teams at Ohio Stadium.
- Michigan has lost each of its last three road games.
- Ohio State has covered the spread in seven of its last eight November games at Ohio Stadium.
- Michigan has failed to cover the spread in three of its last four games as an underdog against the top 3 AP-ranked teams.
Why the Michigan Wolverines will win
- Michigan has won each of its last three November games against teams with an AP Ranking of 2.
- Michigan has covered the spread in each of its last four games against teams with an AP Ranking of 2.
- The team ranked 2nd in the AP Poll has failed to cover the spread in three of its last four games against non-AP-ranked teams.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the last 10 November games between Michigan and Ohio State has gone OVER the total points line.
- Seven of Michigan’s last eight November games against top-5 AP-ranked teams have gone OVER the total points line.
Michigan vs Ohio State Prediction
I’ll probably stay with Ohio State. The Buckeyes took care of a good Indiana team over the weekend and made it look fairly easy. Ohio State had some fairly modest offensive stats, such as 316 yards (201 passing), 14 first downs, eight penalties, and a 4-of-11 rate on third downs. The defense really shined though, giving up just 151 yards (68 passing) and 16 first downs. The Buckeyes have scored 31 or more points in three straight.
As for Michigan, they didn’t have too many troubles with Northwestern. The Wolverines held the opposition to just 127 total yards (117 passing) and eight first downs. The 50 points were nice as well, following a total of just 32 across the previous pair. Michigan will certainly have their hands full in a tough road matchup here though, and I can’t see the Wolverines getting close.