Miami (OH) vs Fresno State Prediction 12/27/2025 Today’s College Football Picks
Chris Ruffolo
Dec 16, 2023; Orlando, FL, USA; Miami (OH) Redhawks quarterback Henry Hesson (12) hands off to running back Rashad Amos (0) against the Appalachian State Mountaineers in the first quarter during the Avocados from Mexico Cure Bowl at FBC Mortgage Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Nathan Ray Seebeck-Imagn Images
MATCHUP
Miami (OH) Redhawks
Fresno State Bulldogs
Team Records
7-6
8-4
Spread
+5.5 -110
-5.5 -110
Moneyline
+170
-205
Total
Over 41.5 (-105)
Under 41.5 (-115)
Where
Arizona Stadium, Tucson, AZ
When
Saturday, December 27, 2025
Time
04:30 PM EST
TV
The CW Network
The Fresno State Bulldogs and the Miami-Ohio Redhawks meet in the Arizona Bowl in college football action from Arizona Stadium on Saturday. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Fresno State Bulldogs vs. Miami-Ohio Redhawks prediction.
Fresno State Bulldogs Recap
The Fresno State Bulldogs come into the Arizona Bowl on behalf of the Mountain West at 8-4 on the year after a 41-14 win over San Jose State last time out.
Bulldogs Looking For Fourth Win In Last 5 Bowl Games
E.J. Warner has thrown for 1,811 yards, 12 touchdowns and 11 interceptions on 69.4% passing while Carson Conklin has thrown for 354 yards, a touchdown and 2 interceptions on 49% passing. Rayshon Luke has a team-high 688 rushing yards and 6 touchdowns while Bryson Donelson has 580 rushing yards and 5 touchdowns this season. Josiah Freeman has a team-high 45 catches for 499 yards and 6 touchdowns while three more Miami receivers have 200+ receiving yards as well this season. On defense, Jadon Pearson has a team-high 98 total tackles while Simeon Harris has a team-high 5 interceptions and Al’zillion Hamiton has 4 interceptions. Finn Claypool has a team-high 6.5 sacks as well on the year.
Miami-Ohio Redhawks Recap
The Miami-Ohio Redhawks come into this game repping the MAC, sitting at 7-6 this season after a 23-13 loss to Western Michigan in the MAC title game.
Redhawks Looking For Back-To-Back Bowl Wins
Henry Hesson has thrown for 596 yards, 4 touchdowns and 3 interceptions on 39.8% passing while Thomas Gotkowski has thrown for 503 yards and 4 touchdowns on 50% passing. Jordan Brunson leads the Bulldogs in rushing with 724 rushing yards and 4 TDs while Kam Perry has a team-high 966 receiving yards and 6 touchdowns to lead the Bulldogs in receiving. Cole Weaver has a team-high 43 catches for 599 yards while Keith Reynolds has 348 receiving yards and a touchdown as well. On defense, Eli Blakey has team-high 105 total tackles while Jackson Kuwatch has 5 sacks. Adam Trick has a team-high 8.5 Sacks while Corban Hondru, Eli Coppess and Silas Walters each have a team-high 3 interceptions.
Miami (OH) RedHawks @ Fresno State Bulldogs Betting Trends: Bowl
Why the Fresno State Bulldogs will win
The favorite has won each of Miami (OH)’s last 14 games.
Miami (OH) has lost each of its last six games as an underdog.
The favorite has covered the spread in each of Miami (OH)’s last 12 games.
Miami (OH) has failed to cover the spread in each of its last five games as an underdog.
Fresno State has won the first half in each of its last four games against non-conference opponents at neutral venues.
Fresno State has won the first quarter in each of its last five games against non-conference opponents at neutral venues.
Total Points Facts
Four of Fresno State’s last five games have gone UNDER the total points line.
Each of Miami (OH)’s last three games as an underdog have gone UNDER the total points line.
Fresno State Bulldogs Player Prop Facts
Heading into the bowl games, Rayshon Luke ranks T3rd amongst qualified players for catch rate (92.3%) this season.
Miami (OH) RedHawks Player Prop Facts
Heading into the bowl games, Kamryn Perry ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for Yards Per Reception (23.0) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
Fresno State ranks T4th among FBS teams for interceptions this season (19).
Fresno State ranks 8th among FBS teams for passing yards allowed per game this season (160.5).
Miami (OH) ranks T16th among FBS teams for interceptions this season (14).
Miami (OH) ranks 111th among FBS teams for 3rd down conversion percentage this season (34.8).
Fresno State Bulldogs vs. Miami-Ohio Redhawks Prediction
I’m on the under here. Miami’s defense was competitive against some of the better teams in the MAC this season and I think they could have success here against a Fresno State offense with an inexperienced option in Conklin starting here. On the other side, Miami’s offense has been lacklustre with brutal QB play whether it’s Hesson or Gotkowski, and I think the under is a strong play here. Give me the under.
