Nevada (3-6) vs Colorado State (5-3)
Game Info: Saturday, November 2, 2024 at 8:00 pm (Clarence Mackay Stadium)
The Line: Betting Odds: Nevada +1.5 / Colorado State -1.5 — Over/Under: 45.5
In this article, we will formulate a Colorado State vs Nevada prediction for this College Football game on Saturday, November 2nd at Mackay Stadium in Reno, Nevada. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this Week 10 matchup.
Colorado State Rams Betting Preview
The Colorado State Rams are 5-3 (3-0) this year after they defeated New Mexico by a score of 17-6 in their last game. Colorado State led 17-3 at halftime and they were able to get the win, despite not scoring in the second half. The Rams were outgained by a total of 453-334, won the turnover battle 4-0, and went 5-13 on third down in the game. Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi threw for 142 yards and one touchdown, while Avery Morrow rushed for 89 yards in the game.
Colorado State has also defeated Air Force and San Jose State during this three-game winning streak. The Colorado State offense has scored 22.5 points per game with 186.5 passing yards and 182 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 24.5 points per game this season. The Rams have gone 37.7% on third down and 8-14 on fourth down through eight games. Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi has completed 61.8% of his passes for 1,454 yards, seven touchdowns, and five interceptions, while Avery Morrow has rushed for 711 yards and six scores.
Nevada Wolf Pack Betting Preview
The Nevada Wolf Pack are 3-6 (0-3) this season after they lost to Hawaii by a score of 34-13 last week. Nevada wasn’t able to find any points in the first half, but they did score twice in the second half to keep the game somewhat respectable. The Wolf Pack were outgained by a total of 399-386, lost the turnover battle 2-1, and went 5-12 on third down in the game. Chubba Purdy threw for 155 yards, one touchdown, and one interception, while AJ Bianco threw for 131 yards and one score.
Nevada lost to Fresno State by a score of 24-21 in the game prior to Hawaii but did beat Oregon State by a score of 42-37 before that. The Nevada offense has scored 26.3 points per game with 191.1 passing yards and 187.6 rushing yards per game, while the defense has scored 27.6 points per game this season. The Wolf Pack have gone 52.1% on third down and 7-18 on fourth down so far this season. Nevada’s quarterback situation is tricky right now, as Brendon Lewis is the starter, but he was hurt in their loss to Fresno State.
Why Colorado State will beat Nevada
- Nevada has lost each of its last seven games against conference opponents.
- The favorite has won 13 of Colorado State’s last 14 games.
- Nevada has failed to cover the spread in each of its last six home games in November.
- Colorado State has covered the spread in each of its last five games against non-AP-ranked teams.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Colorado State’s last four games as a favorite has gone UNDER the total points line.
- Six of Nevada’s last seven November games as a home underdog have gone OVER the total points line.
Matchup/League Facts
- Nevada ranks 6th among FBS teams for red zone percentage this season (96.4).
- Nevada ranks 18th among FBS teams for time of possession per game this season (32:04).
- Colorado State ranks T120th among FBS teams for red zone percentage this season (73.9).
- Colorado State ranks 117th among FBS teams for passing yards allowed per game this season (265.0).
Colorado State vs Nevada Prediction
Nevada comes into this matchup on a two-game losing streak and their offense has really struggled over the last six quarters. The Wolf Pack have only scored 13 points in their last six quarters, despite nearly putting up 400 yards last time out. Colorado State is undefeated in conference play, but they haven’t played any of the good teams in the conference. This Nevada offense is definitely a concern and with Lewis’ status up in the air, I will back Colorado State on the road.