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Boston College vs SMU Prediction College Football Picks 11/16/24

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SMU (8-1) vs Boston College (4-4)

November 16, 2024 at 03:30 PM EST

The Line: Betting Odds: SMU -18 / Boston College +18 — Over/Under: 52.5

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The Boston College Eagles and the SMU Mustangs meet in week 12 college football action from Gerald J. Ford Stadium on Saturday afternoon. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Boston College vs. SMU prediction.

Boston College Recap

The Boston College Eagles come into this one looking to build on their 37-31 win over Syracuse last time out. After this game, Boston College will face off against North Carolina.

Eagles Looking For Bowl Eligibility

Thomas Castellanos has thrown for 1,366 yards, 18 touchdowns, and 5 interceptions on 61.5% passing while Grayson James has thrown for 219 yards, 2 touchdowns, and an INT on 63.2% passing.  Treshaun Ward has 369 rushing yards while Kye Robichaux has a team-high 471 rushing yards with 6 TDs and Turbo Richard has 271 rushing yards. Lewis Bond has a team-high 44 receptions for 438 yards and 23 touchdowns while Ward has 251 receiving yards with 4 TDs and Kamari Morales has 4 touchdowns as well as 226 receiving yards. On defense, Donovan Ezeiruaku has a team-high 59 total tackles and 11 sacks while Khari Johnson and Max Tucker each have a pair of interceptions. As a unit, Boston College has combined for 17 sacks and 11 interceptions so far this season.

Why the Boston College Eagles will win

  • The road team has won three of SMU’s last four games.
  • Boston College has covered the spread in each of its last four games against AP-ranked teams.

SMU Recap

The SMU Mustangs come into this one looking to build on their 48-25 win over Pitt last time out to improve to 8-1 on the year. After this game, SMU will head on the road for a game against Virginia.

Mustangs Trying To Make Case To Committee

Kevin Jennings has thrown for 1,900 yards, 12 touchdowns, and 5 interceptions on 64.8% passing while Preston Stone has 346 passing yards, 4 touchdowns, and an interception on 59.1% passing. Brashard Smith has a team-high 906 rushing yards along with 11 touchdowns while RJ Maryland has a team-high 24 receptions for 359 yards and 4 touchdowns. Jake Bailey has 275 receiving yards while Key’Shawn Smith has 354 receiving yards and 3 TDs as well on the year. Roderick Daniels Jr. has also added 323 receiving yards. On defense, Isaiah Smith has a team-high 4.5 sacks while Jahfari Harvey has 4 sacks and Ahmaad Moses has a team-high 3 interceptions. As a unit, SMU has combined for 20 sacks and 13 interceptions as well on the year.

Why the SMU Mustangs will win

  • SMU has won each of its last 15 games against conference opponents.
  • Boston College has lost 17 of its last 18 games against top-15 AP-ranked teams.
  • Boston College has failed to cover the spread in eight of its last nine November games against AP-ranked teams.
  • SMU has covered the spread in seven of its last eight games at Gerald J. Ford Stadium.

Boston College vs. SMU Prediction

I’m on SMU here. Boston College made a switch at QB from Thomas Castellanos to Grayson James and I have that as a significant downgrade from the current situation under center. SMU needs to continue with the dominant wins to make a case to the playoff committee and I think they keep rolling along for a win and cover in dominant fashion.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: SMU -18

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