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Arkansas State vs TCU Prediction 9/19/2026 Today’s College Football Picks

Aug 29, 2026; Dublin, Co. Dublin, IRL; TCU Horned Frogs running back Jeremy Payne (26) runs the ball against the North Carolina Tar Heels in the first half at Aviva Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Laszlo Geczo-Imagn Images

Aug 29, 2026; Dublin, Co. Dublin, IRL; TCU Horned Frogs running back Jeremy Payne (26) runs the ball against the North Carolina Tar Heels in the first half at Aviva Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Laszlo Geczo-Imagn Images

MATCHUP Arkansas State Red Wolves TCU Horned Frogs
Team Records 1-1 1-1
Spread +18.5 -105 -18.5 -115
Moneyline +750 -1200
Total Over 55.5 (-115) Under 55.5 (-105)
Where Amon G. Carter Stadium, Fort Worth, TX
When Saturday, September 19, 2026
Time 08:00 PM EDT
TV ESPNU
In this article we will formulate an Arkansas State vs TCU prediction for this College Football game on Saturday, September 19th at Amon G. Carter Stadium in Fort Worth, Texas. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this Week 3 matchup. 

Arkansas State Red Wolves Betting Preview

The Arkansas State Red Wolves are 1-1 this season after they defeated West Georgia by a score of 52-7 last week. Arkansas State led 21-7 at halftime and pitched a shutout in the second half in the blowout win. The Red Wolves out gained West Georgia by a total of 391-246, went 5-8 on third downs, and won the turnover battle by a total of 4-1 in the game. Trey Owens threw for 135 yards and two touchdowns, while Chauncy Cobb caught four passes for 54 yards and one score. Solomon Baggett rushed eight times for 70 yards and one score in the win. 

Prior to that game, Arkansas State lost to Memphis by a score of 42-24 in week one. The Red Wolves have scored 38.0 points per game with 230.0 passing yards and 182.5 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 24.5 points against per game on defense this season. Trey Owens has thrown for 460 yards with three touchdowns and four interceptions. 

TCU Horned Frogs Betting Preview

The TCU Horned Frogs are 1-1 this year after they defeated Grambling by a score of 63-7 in week two. TCU led 28-7 at halftime and scored 35 in the second half to pull away with the lopsided win. The Horned Frogs out gained Grambling by a total of 676-210, went 2-7 on third downs, and won the turnover battle by a total of 2-1 in the game. Jaden Craig threw for 391 yards and four touchdowns, while Kari Ashley caught seven passes for 119 yards and two touchdowns. Jeremy Payne rushed nine times for 79 yards in the game. 

Prior to that win, TCU lost to North Carolina by a score of 15-10 in week zero. The Horned Frogs have scored 36.5 points per game with 283.0 passing yards and 195.5 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 11.0 points against per game this season. Jaden Craig has thrown for 566 yards with four touchdowns and zero interceptions this year. 

Why the TCU Horned Frogs will win

Why the Arkansas State Red Wolves will win

Total Points Facts

TCU Horned Frogs Player Prop Facts

Arkansas State Red Wolves Player Prop Facts

Matchup/League Facts

Arkansas State vs TCU Prediction 

TCU was able to bounce back from their week zero loss to North Carolina with a blowout win over Grambling last week, but they will be looking for their first FBS win here. The Horned Frogs should find success on offense in this game, as Memphis was able to score 42 on Arkansas State in week one. The Red Wolves also got a win last week against a FCS team, but they have more interceptions than touchdowns thrown. I am interested to see how TCU looks here, but they should be able to pull away in the second half for the cover.

David Racey's Pick: TCU -19.5

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