Washington Mystics vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction 8/25/2026 Today’s WNBA Picks
Chris Ruffolo
Aug 21, 2026; Washington, District of Columbia, USA; Minnesota Lynx guard Olivia Miles (5) steps back to shoot as Washington Mystics guard Sonia Citron (22) defends in the second half at CareFirst Arena. Mandatory Credit: Geoff Burke-Imagn Images
MATCHUP
Washington Mystics
Phoenix Mercury
Team Records
22-15
13-24
Spread
-1.5 -115
+1.5 -105
Moneyline
-130
+110
Total
Over 167.5 (-110)
Under 167.5 (-110)
Where
Mortgage Matchup Center, Phoenix, AZ
When
Tuesday, August 25, 2026
Time
10:00 PM EDT
TV
WNBA League Pass
The Washington Mystics and the Phoenix Mercury meet Tuesday in WNBA action from the Mortgage Matchup Center. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Washington Mystics vs. Phoenix Mercury prediction.
Matchup History
The Washington Mystics won the most recent meeting between these two teams back on August 9th, 2026, by a final score of 95-75, snapping Phoenix’s three-game win streak in this head-to-head matchup.
Washington Mystics Recap
The Washington Mystics come into this game looking to add on to their 105-100 win over the Portland Fire last time out to sit at 22-15 this season. After this game, the Mystics will have a rematch with Phoenix before heading on the road again to take on the Los Angeles Sparks.
Mystics Win 3 Of Last 4
Sonia Citron leads the Mystics in scoring with 17.4 PPG along with 3.8 RPG and 3.8 APG while Shakira Austin has 15 PPG with 9.4 RPG and Kiki Iriafen also has 15 PPG with a team-high 9.4 RPG to lead the Mystics on the glass and Michaela Onyenwere has 10 PPG with 3.1 RPG to cap off the group of double-digit scorers for Washington. Georgia Amoore also has 6.4 PPG and a team-high 3.8 APG to lead the Mystics in assists.
Phoenix Mercury Recap
The Phoenix Mercury come into this game looking to rebound from a 99-89 loss at the hands of the Atlanta Dream last time out to sit at 13-24 this season. After this game, the Mercury will take on the Mystics in a rematch at home before welcoming the Toronto Tempo to town.
Mercury Lose 6 Of Last 8
Kahleah Copper leads the Mercury in scoring with 20.9 PPG while Alyssa Thomas has 14.9 PPG with 7.1 RPG and a team-high 8.3 APG to lead the Mercury in assists this season. Jovana Nogic has 10.4 PPG and DeWanna Bonner has 10.2 PPG with 5.8 RPG to cap off the scoring in double figures for Phoenix up to this point in the year. Natasha Mack also has 8.8 PPG with 7.4 RPG as well this season to lead the Mercury in rebounding.
Washington Mystics @ Phoenix Mercury Betting Trends: August 25, 2026
Why the Phoenix Mercury will win
The Mystics have lost each of their last four games as favorites following a road win.
The home team has won 10 of the Mystics’ last 12 games.
The Mystics have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four games as favorites following a road win.
The home team has covered the spread in nine of the Mystics’ last 12 games.
Why the Washington Mystics will win
The Mystics have won eight of their last nine games against teams that held a losing record.
The Mercury have lost seven of their last eight games against teams that held a winning record.
The Mercury have failed to cover the spread in each of their last seven games as home underdogs following a home loss.
The Mystics have covered the spread in each of their last four games as favorites against the Mercury.
Total Points Facts
Each of the Mystics’ last six games as road favorites following a road win have gone UNDER the total points line.
Each of the Mercury’s last four night games at Mortgage Matchup Center have gone OVER the total points line.
Phoenix Mercury Player Facts
Alyssa Thomas ranks T1st amongst qualified players for assists per game (8.3) this season.
Kelsey Plum is the only qualified player to have made a three in every game this season.
Washington Mystics Player Facts
Shakira Austin has recorded 6+ rebounds in 27 consecutive appearances – longest active streak of any player in the league.
Kiki Iriafen has recorded 15+ points and 5+ rebounds in four consecutive appearances – longest active streak of any player in the league.
Matchup/League Facts
The Phoenix Mercury rank 14th for opponent three-point field goals attempts per game this season (27.6).
The Phoenix Mercury rank 14th for field goals made per game this season (28.9).
The Washington Mystics rank 1st for rebounds per game this season (37.8).
The Washington Mystics rank 1st for opponent rebounds per game this season (30.2).
Washington Mystics vs. Phoenix Mercury Prediction
I’m on the Mystics here. There’s concern that the Mystics could come out flat after their clinching of a playoff spot last time out but the Mercury are dead in the water and aren’t even interested in playing spoiler at this point. The Mystics are the better team and still have a chance to fight for home court in the first round of the playoffs if they catch some breaks. Give me the Mystics for the road win and cover here.
