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Washington Mystics vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction 07/27/2025 Picks

Jul 23, 2025; Phoenix, Arizona, USA; Phoenix Mercury forward Alyssa Thomas (25) drives against the Atlanta Dream in the second half at Footprint Center. Mandatory Credit: Rick Scuteri-Imagn Images

Jul 23, 2025; Phoenix, Arizona, USA; Phoenix Mercury forward Alyssa Thomas (25) drives against the Atlanta Dream in the second half at Footprint Center. Mandatory Credit: Rick Scuteri-Imagn Images

Phoenix (15-9) vs Washington (12-12)

July 27, 2025 at 06:00 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Washington +7 — Over/Under: +164

(Get latest betting odds)

The Phoenix Mercury and the Washington Mystics meet Sunday in WNBA action from the CareFirst Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Phoenix Mercury vs. Washington Mystics prediction.

Matchup History

The Phoenix Mercury won the lone meeting between these two teams this season back on May 25th, 2025, by a final score of 68-62, making it four wins in the last six meetings for the Mercury in this head-to-head matchup.

Phoenix Mercury Recap

The Phoenix Mercury come into this game looking to rebound from an 89-76 loss at the hands of the New York Liberty last time out to sit at 15-9 on the year. After this game, the Mercury will head on the road again to continue their trip with a game against the Indiana Fever.

Mercury Lose Three In A Row

Satou Sabally leads the Mercury in scoring with 18.1 PPG along with 7.2 RPG, 2.6 APG and 1.3 SPG while Alyssa Thomas has 15.1 PPG with 7.8 RPG and 9.4 APG and Kahleah Copper has 15.5 PPG. Sami Whitcomb also has 10.6 PPG with 3.2 RPG and 2.7 APG while DeWanna Bonner has 13.4 PPG in 5 games so far with Phoenix to cap off the double-digit scorers for Phoenix so far this season. Lexi Held’s added 8 PPG while Monique Akoa Makani has 8.6 PPG. Kitija Laksa has 7.2 PPG as well on the year. As a team, Phoenix is averaging 82.9 PPG on 42.9% shooting from the field, 34.1% from three-point range and 76.8% from the foul line so far this season.

Washington Mystics Recap

The Washington Mystics will be out to build on their 69-58 win over the Seattle Storm last time out to sit at 12-12 on the year. After this game, the Mystics will take on the Chicago Sky at home.

Mystics Snap Two-Game Losing Streak

Brittany Sykes leads the Mystics in scoring and assists with 17.1 PPG and 4.5 APG along with 3.6 RPG while Sonia Citron has 13.8 PPG, 4.9 RPG and 2.2 APG this season. Kiki Iriafen has 12 PPG with a team-high 8.3 RPG to lead the Mystics in rebounding and Shakira Austin has 12.6 PPG with 6.6 RPG to cap off the scoring in double figures for Washington up to this point in the year. As a team, Washington is averaging 78.8 PPG on 43.3% shooting from the field, 33.2% from behind the three-point line and 74.1% from the foul line so far this season.

Phoenix Mercury vs. Washington Mystics Prediction

I’m on the Mystics and the points here. I get the case to be made for the Mercury here as this is the healthiest that the Mercury have been all season with Sabally, Copper, Thomas and co. all on the floor at the same time. However, that didn’t stop the Mercury from getting beat up by the Liberty and this is a Mystics team that’s been able to take down some big teams already at home this season. All in all, I think the Mercury are fully capable of winning this game, but I could easily see it being by one or two buckets. Give me Washington and the points here.

Chris Ruffolo's Pick: Washington +7

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