Washington Mystics vs Las Vegas Aces Prediction 8/11/2026 Today’s WNBA Picks
Chris Ruffolo
Aug 5, 2026; Washington, District of Columbia, USA; Washington Mystics guard Sonia Citron (22) shoots the ball as Dallas Wings guard Paige Bueckers (5) defends in the second half at CareFirst Arena. Mandatory Credit: Geoff Burke-Imagn Images
MATCHUP
Washington Mystics
Las Vegas Aces
Team Records
19-12
22-11
Spread
+6.5 -115
-6.5 -105
Moneyline
+220
-270
Total
Over 170.5 (-112)
Under 170.5 (-108)
Where
Michelob ULTRA Arena, Las Vegas, NV
When
Tuesday, August 11, 2026
Time
10:00 PM EDT
TV
WNBA League Pass
The Washington Mystics and the Las Vegas Aces meet Tuesday in WNBA action from the T-Mobile Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Washington Mystics vs. Las Vegas Aces prediction.
Matchup History
The Washington Mystics won the most recent meeting between these two teams back on July 22nd, 2026, by a final score of 100-99, making it three wins in the last four head-to-head meetings for the Mystics in this head-to-head matchup.
Washington Mystics Recap
The Washington Mystics come into this game looking to add on to their 95-75 win over the Mercury to sit at 19-12 this season. After this game, the Mystics will have their rematch against the Aces before they head home for a matchup against the Los Angeles Sparks.
Mystics Win 7 Straight
Sonia Citron leads the Mystics in scoring with 17.4 PPG along with 3.8 RPG and 3.8 APG while Shakira Austin has 15 PPG with 9.4 RPG and Kiki Iriafen also has 15 PPG with a team-high 9.4 RPG to lead the Mystics on the glass and Michaela Onyenwere has 10 PPG with 3.1 RPG to cap off the group of double-digit scorers for Washington. Georgia Amoore also has 6.4 PPG and a team-high 3.8 APG to lead the Mystics in assists.
Las Vegas Aces Recap
The Las Vegas Aces come into this game looking to bounce back from a 111-71 loss at the hands of the New York Liberty last time out to sit at 22-12 this season. After this game, the Aces will rematch against the Mystics at home before they square off against the Minnesota Lynx in a marquee rematch at home.
Aces Lose Back-To-Back Games
A’Ja Wilson leads the Aces in scoring with 26.8 PPG along with 9.8 RPG and 3.2 APG while NaLyssa Smith’s added 11.9 PPG with 5.9 RPG. Chelsea Gray’s added 12.6 PPG with 7.2 APG to lead the Aces in assists and Jackie Young also has 17.5 PPG with 4.4 RPG and 6.7 APG to cap off the group of double-digit scorers for the Aces up to this point in the season.
Washington Mystics @ Las Vegas Aces Betting Trends: August 11, 2026
Why the Las Vegas Aces will win
The home team has won each of the Mystics’ last six games.
The Mystics have lost five of their last six games against Aces teams that held a winning record.
The home team has covered the spread in each of the Mystics’ last six games.
Why the Washington Mystics will win
The Mystics have won each of their last five games as underdogs.
The Aces have lost four of their last six games as favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.
The Mystics have covered the spread in each of their last eight games.
The Aces have failed to cover the spread in each of their last five games against Mystics teams that held a winning record.
Total Points Facts
Seven of the Aces’ last eight home games following a road loss have gone OVER the total points line.
Five of the Mystics’ last six games as underdogs following a home win have gone UNDER the total points line.
Las Vegas Aces Player Facts
A’ja Wilson ranks 1st amongst qualified players for points per game (26.3) this season.
Chelsea Gray ranks 1st amongst qualified players for FT% (93.0%) this season.
Washington Mystics Player Facts
Shakira Austin has recorded 6+ rebounds in 21 consecutive appearances – longest active streak of any player in the league.
Kiki Iriafen ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for second chance points per game (3.9) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
The Las Vegas Aces rank 1st for assists per game this season (22.2).
The Las Vegas Aces rank 14th for offensive rebounds per game this season (7.5).
The Washington Mystics rank 14th for points per game this season (82.0).
The Washington Mystics rank 1st for rebounds per game this season (37.5).
Washington Mystics vs. Las Vegas Aces Prediction
I’m on the Aces in this one. I’m so tempted to take the Mystics in this matchup, considering the hot streak they’ve been on, but it’s worth remembering that a lot of those performances came at home and although they did win in Golden State against the Valkyries, it’s a tough ask to go back on the road after a long homestand and take on a rested Aces team that sat a lot of their key players in that Liberty blowout. I think the overreaction is giving us some line value on the Aces and no disrespect to what the Mystics are doing right now but I think this is just a Las Vegas spot. Give me the Aces.
