Toronto Tempo vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction 8/29/2026 Today’s WNBA Picks
Chris Ruffolo
Aug 27, 2026; Phoenix, Arizona, USA; Phoenix Mercury forward Alyssa Thomas (25) defends against Washington Mystics center Lauren Betts (51) in the second half at Mortgage Matchup Center. Mandatory Credit: Mark J. Rebilas-Imagn Images
MATCHUP
Toronto Tempo
Phoenix Mercury
Team Records
11-28
13-26
Spread
+9.5 -110
-9.5 -110
Moneyline
+330
-425
Total
Over 174.5 (-115)
Under 174.5 (-105)
Where
Mortgage Matchup Center, Phoenix, AZ
When
Saturday, August 29, 2026
Time
10:00 PM EDT
TV
WNBA League Pass
The Toronto Tempo and the Phoenix Mercury meet Saturday in WNBA action from the Mortgage Matchup Center. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Toronto Tempo vs. Phoenix Mercury prediction.
Matchup History
The Phoenix Mercury won the most recent meeting between these two teams back on June 27th, 2026, by a final score of 89-80, evening up the all-time series at one between the two sides.
Toronto Tempo Recap
The Toronto Tempo come into this game looking to shake off a 93-73 loss at the hands of the Las Vegas Aces last time out to sit at 11-28 on the year.
Tempo Lose 3 Straight
Marina Mabrey has 20.9 PPG with 3.5 RPG and 3.7 APG while Brittany Sykes has 20.1 PPG with 3.8 RPG and 3.5 APG this season. Kiki Rice has 11.8 PPG with 4.5 RPG and Nyara Sabally has chipped in 12 PPG and 4.8 RPG. Isabelle Harrison also has 13.2 PPG while Laura Juskaite has 10 PPG with 3.9 RPG to round out the group of double-digit scorers for Toronto so far this season.
Phoenix Mercury Recap
The Phoenix Mercury come into this game looking to shake off their 80-73 loss at the hands of the Washington Mystics last time out to sit at 13-26 this season.
Mercury Lose 4 Straight
Kahleah Copper leads the Mercury in scoring with 20.9 PPG while Alyssa Thomas has 14.9 PPG with 7.1 RPG and a team-high 8.3 APG to lead the Mercury in assists this season. Jovana Nogic has 10.4 PPG to cap off the scoring in double figures for Phoenix up to this point in the year. Natasha Mack also has 8.8 PPG with 7.4 RPG as well this season to lead the Mercury in rebounding.
Toronto Tempo @ Phoenix Mercury Betting Trends: August 29, 2026
Why the Phoenix Mercury will win
The Tempo have lost each of their last 10 road games.
The favorites have won 15 of the Tempo’s last 16 games.
The home team has covered the spread in each of the Tempo’s last four games.
The Tempo have failed to cover the spread in three of their last four games against teams that held a losing record.
Why the Toronto Tempo will win
The Mercury have lost each of their last six games against Eastern Conference opponents.
The road team has won each of the Mercury’s last five games.
The Mercury have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six games against Eastern Conference opponents.
The road team has covered the spread in each of the Mercury’s last five games.
Total Points Facts
Each of the Tempo’s last six games against Western Conference opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
Five of the Mercury’s last six games as home favorites following a home loss have gone OVER the total points line.
Phoenix Mercury Player Facts
Alyssa Thomas has recorded 5+ rebounds and 5+ assists in 15 consecutive appearances – longest active streak of any player in the league.
Natasha Mack has recorded 3+ steals + blocks in each of her last two games – equal-longest active streak of any player in the league.
Toronto Tempo Player Facts
Kia Nurse ranks 11th amongst qualified players for three-pointers made per 36 minutes (3.0) this season.
Kiki Rice ranks 14th amongst qualified players for FT% (87.1%) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
The Phoenix Mercury rank 14th for opponent three-point percentage this season (36.1%).
The Phoenix Mercury rank 14th for field goals made per game this season (28.9).
The Toronto Tempo rank 14th for point differential per game this season (-6.9).
The Toronto Tempo rank 14th for opponent field goals made per game this season (33.3).
Toronto Tempo vs. Phoenix Mercury Prediction
I’m on the Tempo and the points here. I just have no idea why the Mercury are laying this kind of number. The Mercury have been the most underwhelming team in the WNBA this season, and I think this is a good spot to go against them and take a Tempo team that is on a back-to-back but will be eager to shake off a horrid performance against the Aces. I’ll back Toronto and the points in this one.
