Seattle Storm vs Las Vegas Aces Prediction 9/18/2025 Today’s WNBA Picks

The Seattle Storm and the Las Vegas Aces meet Thursday in WNBA First Round playoff action from the T-Mobile Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Seattle Storm vs. Las Vegas Aces prediction.

Game Two Recap

The Seattle Storm managed to force an all-deciding game three with an 86-83 win over the Aces in game two. Skylar Diggins led the Storm with 26 points including 4 threes and a team-high 7 assists while Nneka Ogwumike added 24 points with 4 threes and a team-high 10 rebounds for the double-double. Dominique Malonga and Erica Wheeler each had 11 points off of the bench with Malonga adding 10 rebounds for a double-double of her own to cap off Seattle’s scoring in double figures in the winning effort. For the Aces, Jackie Young led the way with 25 points along with 5 rebounds and 4 assists. A’Ja Wilson added 21 points with 13 rebonuds and 5 assists for the double-double while Jewell Loyd chipped in 13 points with 3 threes to cap off the scoring in double figures for the Aces in the loss. Chelsea Gray also added a team-high 9 assists as well in the defeat.

Seattle Storm Stats

Nneka Ogwumike leads the Storm in scoring and rebounding with 18.2 PPG and 7 RPG while Skylar Diggins has 15.6 PPG with 2.5 RPG and a team-high 6 APG to lead the Storm in assists so far this season. Brittney Sykes all has 12.1 PPG with 2.6 RPG and 3.5 APG and Gabby Williams has 12 PPG with 4.4 RPG, 4.2 APG and 2.3 SPG as well this season. Erica Wheeler also has 10.2 PPG with 2.7 RPG and 3.3 APG to cap off the group of double-digit scorers for Seattle. Ezi Magbegor also has 8.1 PPG with 6.1 RPG and 2.1 APG as well so far this season. As a team, Seattle is averaging 82.4 PPG on 45.2% shooting from the field, 34.1% from three and 77.3% from the foul line so far this season.

Las Vegas Aces Stats

A’Ja Wilson leads the Aces across the board with 21.5 PPG along with 9.1 RPG to go along with 3.3 APG, 2.3 BPG and 1.7 SPG. Jackie Young has 16.6 PPG with 4.1 RPG and 4.5 APG as well this season. Chelsea Gray has chipped in 11 PPG with 4.1 RPG and 4.5 APG and Jewell Loyd’s added 11.4 PPG with 3.7 RPG to round out the group of double-digit scorers for Las Vegas so far this season. As a team, Las Vegas is averaging 81.4 PPG on 42% shooting from the field, 32.4% from three and 82.3% from the foul line this season.

Seattle Storm @ Las Vegas Aces Betting Trends: September 18, 2025

Why the Las Vegas Aces will win

• The Aces have won each of their last 11 home games.
• The Storm have lost 21 of their last 22 road games against Western Conference opponents after winning as underdogs.
• The Storm have failed to cover the spread in each of their last seven games following a home win.
• The Aces have covered the spread in each of their last six home games against Western Conference opponents.

Why the Seattle Storm will win

• The Storm have won seven of their last nine games as underdogs.
• The Aces have lost each of their last four night games following a road loss.
• The Storm have covered the spread in each of their last nine Thursday games.

Total Points Facts

• Eight of the Aces’ last nine home games against Western Conference opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
• Each of the Storm’s last four road games have gone OVER the total points line.

Las Vegas Aces Player Facts

• A’ja Wilson ranks 1st amongst qualified players for points per game (23.4) this season.
• Jewell Loyd has hit 3+ three-pointers in four consecutive appearances – longest active streak of any player in the league.

Seattle Storm Player Facts

• Skylar Diggins has recorded 2+ assists in 87 consecutive appearances – longest active streak of any player in the league.
• Gabby Williams ranks 1st amongst qualified players for steals per 36 minutes (2.6) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Las Vegas Aces rank 1st for opponent blocks per game this season (2.6).
• The Las Vegas Aces rank 12th for opponent free throw percentage this season (81.5%).
• The Seattle Storm rank 12th for offensive rebounds per game this season (6.9).
• The Seattle Storm rank 1st for steals per game this season (8.5).

Seattle Storm vs. Las Vegas Aces Prediction

I’m backing the Aces in this one. I get the case to be made for the Storm after snapping Las Vegas’ win streak, but I think that woke the Aces up. Now getting back home, I think the Aces revert back to the team that we’ve seen over the last month and a half that was steamrolling pretty much everyone that got in the way. I think the Aces come out firing here and get the job done here. Give me Las Vegas.