Portland Fire vs Las Vegas Aces Prediction 7/28/2026 Today’s WNBA Picks
Chris Ruffolo
Jul 9, 2026; Portland, Oregon, USA; Portland Fire guard Carla Leite (0) controls the ball during the first half against the Las Vegas Aces at Moda Center. Mandatory Credit: Soobum Im-Imagn Images
MATCHUP
Portland Fire
Las Vegas Aces
Team Records
11-16
18-8
Spread
+11.5 -109
-11.5 -110
Moneyline
+441
-620
Total
Over 177.5 (-113)
Under 177.5 (-107)
Where
Michelob ULTRA Arena, Las Vegas, NV
When
Tuesday, July 28, 2026
Time
10:00 PM EDT
TV
WNBA League Pass
The Portland Fire and the Las Vegas Aces meet Tuesday in WNBA action from the T-Mobile Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Portland Fire vs. Las Vegas Aces prediction.
Matchup History
The Las Vegas Aces won the most recent meeting between these two teams back on July 9th, 2025, by a final score of 88-80, making it back-to-back wins for the Aces in this head-to-head matchup.
Portland Fire Recap
The Portland Fire come into this game looking to bounce back from a 101-97 loss at the hands of the Dallas Wings last time out to sit at 11-16 this season. After this game, the Fire will head home for a game against the Indiana Fever.
Fire Lose Back-To-Back Games
Carla Leite has 15.2 PPG with 5.6 APG while Bridget Carleton’s added 13.6 PPG with 3.7 RPG and 1.9 APG. Megan Gustafson has 11.9 PPG with 3.8 RPG and Sarah Ashlee Barker has 10.7 PPG with 4.5 RPG to cap off the group of double-digit scorers for the Fire so far this season. Emily Engstler also has 8.9 PPG with a team-high 5.2 RPG as well for Portland this season.
Las Vegas Aces Recap
The Las Vegas Aces come into this game looking to rebound from their 100-99 loss at the hands of the Washington Mystics last time out to sit at 18-9 this season. After this game, the Aces will take on the New York Liberty in a matchup at home.
Aces Alternate Wins & Losses In 4 Straight
A’Ja Wilson leads the Aces in scoring with 26 PPG along with 9.4 RPG and 2.9 APG while NaLyssa Smith’s added 12 PPG with 6.3 RPG. Chelsea Gray’s added 12.3 PPG with 7.3 APG to lead the Aces in assists and Jackie Young also has 16.5 PPG with 4.5 RPG and 6.8 APG to cap off the group of double-digit scorers for the Aces up to this point in the season.
Portland Fire @ Las Vegas Aces Betting Trends: July 28, 2026
Why the Las Vegas Aces will win
The Aces have won each of their last 15 night games against teams that held a losing record.
The Fire have lost each of their last four games against Western Conference opponents that held a winning record.
The Aces have covered the spread in six of their last seven games against teams that held a losing record.
Why the Portland Fire will win
The Fire have covered the spread in seven of their last eight games.
The Aces have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five home games following a road loss.
Total Points Facts
Six of the Aces’ last seven home games following a road loss have gone OVER the total points line.
Four of the Fire’s last five games have gone OVER the total points line.
Las Vegas Aces Player Facts
A’ja Wilson ranks 1st amongst qualified players for points per game (26.1) this season.
Chelsea Gray ranks 1st amongst qualified players for FT% (94.2%) this season.
Portland Fire Player Facts
Carla Leite has made 2+ free throws in 12 consecutive appearances – equal-longest active streak of any player in the league.
Emily Engstler is one of only two players in the league to have recorded 4+ blocks in consecutive games this season.
Matchup/League Facts
The Las Vegas Aces rank 1st for blocks per game this season (5.1).
The Las Vegas Aces rank 1st for opponent blocks per game this season (2.3).
The Portland Fire rank 14th for point differential per game this season (-5.3).
The Portland Fire rank 14th for offensive rebounds per game this season (7.4).
Portland Fire vs. Las Vegas Aces Prediction
I’m on the Fire and the points in this one. I get the case to be made for either side in this game, but the Aces have the Liberty on deck and are off of a long layoff with a lot of their key pieces also taking part in the all-star game. On the flipside, the Fire have been a cover machine as of late and have found some fight to keep themselves in games. I’ll side with the Fire and the points here.
