Phoenix Mercury vs New York Liberty Prediction 5/29/2026 Today’s WNBA Picks
Chris Ruffolo
May 21, 2026; Brooklyn, New York, USA; New York Liberty forward Breanna Stewart (30) looks to pass against Golden State Valkyries forward Kayla Thornton (5) during the third quarter at Barclays Center. Mandatory Credit: Tom Horak-Imagn Images
MATCHUP
Phoenix Mercury
New York Liberty
Team Records
2-6
4-4
Spread
+5.5 -105
-5.5 -115
Moneyline
+185
-225
Total
Over 170.5 (-110)
Under 170.5 (-110)
Where
Barclays Center, Brooklyn, NY
When
Friday, May 29, 2026
Time
07:30 PM EDT
TV
ION
The Phoenix Mercury and the New York Liberty meet Friday in WNBA action from the Barclays Center. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Phoenix Mercury vs. New York Liberty prediction.
Matchup History
The New York Liberty won the most recent meeting between these two teams on May 27th by a final score of 84-74 to get their revenge on the Mercury after being bounced from the playoffs by Phoenix last season.
Phoenix Mercury Recap
The Phoenix Mercury come into this game looking to shake off the loss to New York last time out to fall to 2-6 on the year. After this game, the Mercury will be heading home for a game against Minnesota.
Mercury Lose 4 In A Row
Kahleah Copper leads the Mercury in scoring with 18.8 PPG along with 2.3 APG while Alyssa Thomas has 16.9 PPG with 7.8 RPG and a team-high 8.1 APG to lead the Mercury in assists this season. Jovana Nogic has 14 PPG and Natasha Mack has 10.3 PPG with 8.1 RPG to lead the Mercury in rebounding and to cap off the scoring in double figures for Phoenix up to this point in the year.
New York Liberty Recap
The New York Liberty come into this game looking to build on their win over Phoenix last time out to sit at 4-4 this season. After this game, the Liberty will take on the Toronto Tempo at home.
Liberty Snap Three-Game Slide
Breanna Stewart has 20 PPG along with 8.6 RPG while Marine Johanes has 12.6 PPG and 3 RPG and 4.6 APG. Jonquel Jones has 13.1 PPG with 8.4 RPG and Pauline Astier has 11.5 PPG with 3.4 RPG and 3.3 APG to cap off the scoring in double figures for the Liberty this season.
Phoenix Mercury @ New York Liberty Betting Trends: May 29, 2026
Why the New York Liberty will win
The Liberty have won nine of their last 10 home games against Western Conference opponents that held a losing record.
The Mercury have lost each of their last 12 Friday games as road underdogs.
The Mercury have failed to cover the spread in each of their last 14 Friday road games.
The favorites have covered the spread in six of the last seven games between the Liberty and Mercury.
Why the Phoenix Mercury will win
The Liberty have lost four of their last five games as home favorites against Western Conference opponents.
The underdogs have won three of the Liberty’s last four games.
The Liberty have failed to cover the spread in 12 of their last 14 home games against Western Conference opponents that held a losing record.
The road team has covered the spread in four of the Liberty’s last five games.
Total Points Facts
Each of the Liberty’s last eight home games against Western Conference opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
Each of the Mercury’s last six games against the Liberty following a road loss have gone UNDER the total points line.
New York Liberty Player Facts
Marine Johannes ranks 1st amongst qualified players for three-pointers made per game (3.4) this season.
Leonie Fiebich ranks 2nd in the league for true shooting percentage (101.4%) this season.
Phoenix Mercury Player Facts
Natasha Mack ranks 1st amongst qualified players for FG% (70.8%) this season.
Alyssa Thomas has recorded 3+ assists in 74 consecutive appearances – longest active streak of any player in the league.
Matchup/League Facts
The New York Liberty rank 1st for free throw percentage this season (86.8%).
The New York Liberty rank 1st for opponent free throw percentage this season (71.1%).
The Phoenix Mercury have recorded the longest losing streak in the WNBA this season (4 games).
The Phoenix Mercury have suffered the equal-largest comeback loss after Q3 this season – led by -8 points @ Atlanta Dream on May 24.
Phoenix Mercury vs. New York Liberty Prediction
I’m on the Liberty here. I get the case to be made for Phoenix in a quick revenge spot against the Liberty, but New York is the better team and Phoenix is a team I’m not all that sold on right now. I think that New York sweeps the quick back-to-back and I think the Liberty take care of business here.
