Phoenix Mercury vs Minnesota Lynx Prediction 7/13/2026 Today’s WNBA Picks
Chris Ruffolo
Jul 11, 2026; Minneapolis, Minnesota, USA; Minnesota Lynx guard Olivia Miles (5) grabs a rebound ahead of New York Liberty forward Pauline Astier (18) late in the fourth quarter at Target Center. Mandatory Credit: Bruce Kluckhohn-Imagn Images
MATCHUP
Phoenix Mercury
Minnesota Lynx
Team Records
8-16
17-6
Spread
+12.5 -112
-12.5 -108
Moneyline
+525
-750
Total
Over 168.5 (-112)
Under 168.5 (-108)
Where
Target Center, Minneapolis, MN
When
Monday, July 13, 2026
Time
09:00 PM EDT
TV
Peacock
The Phoenix Mercury and the Minnesota Lynx meet Monday in WNBA action from the Target Center. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Phoenix Mercury vs. Minnesota Lynx prediction.
Matchup History
The Minnesota Lynx won the most recent meeting between these two teams back on June 1st, 2026, by a final score of 111-77, making it back-to-back wins for Minnesota in this head-to-head matchup.
Phoenix Mercury Recap
The Phoenix Mercury come into this game looking to shake off a 106-58 blowout loss at the hands of the Las Vegas Aces last time out to sit at 8-16 this season. After this game, the Mercury will head home for a back-to-back against the Connecticut Sun.
Mercury Lose 3 In A Row
Kahleah Copper leads the Mercury in scoring with 20.3 PPG while Alyssa Thomas has 14.2 PPG with 6.8 RPG and a team-high 7.9 APG to lead the Mercury in assists this season. Jovana Nogic has 10.4 PPG and Monique Akoa Makani has 10.2 PPG with 2 RPG and 2.5 APG to cap off the scoring in double figures for Phoenix up to this point in the year. Natasha Mack also has 9.2 PPG with 8.3 RPG as well this season to lead the Mercury in rebounding.
Minnesota Lynx Recap
The Minnesota Lynx come into this game looking to add on to their 90-85 win over New York last time out to sit at 17-6 this season. After this game, the Lynx will take on the Los Angeles Sparks in a matchup at home.
Lynx Win Back-To-Back Games
Kayla McBride has 16.2 PPG along with 3.8 RPG while Olivia Miles has 18.7 PPG with 4.8 RPG and a team-high 5.6 APG to lead the Lynx in assists. Courtney Williams has 15.8 PPG with 5.7 RPG and 4.1 APG. Natasha Howard has 16.9 PPG with 8.1 RPG and 2.8 APG to cap off the group of double-digit scorers for Minnesota so far this season.
Phoenix Mercury @ Minnesota Lynx Betting Trends: July 13, 2026
Why the Minnesota Lynx will win
The Lynx have won each of their last 12 games against Western Conference opponents that held a losing record.
The Mercury have lost 15 of their last 16 games at Target Center against Lynx teams that held a winning record.
The Lynx have covered the spread in each of their last eight games against Western Conference opponents that held a losing record.
The Mercury have failed to cover the spread in eight of their last nine night games at Target Center.
Why the Phoenix Mercury will win
The road team has won seven of the Lynx’s last nine games.
The Lynx have lost three of their last four night games at Target Center following a home win.
The Lynx have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four games.
The Mercury have covered the spread in three of their last four games against Lynx teams that held a winning record.
Total Points Facts
Each of the last five games between the Lynx and Mercury have gone OVER the total points line.
Each of the Mercury’s last four games against the Lynx following a road loss have gone OVER the total points line.
Minnesota Lynx Player Facts
Olivia Miles has recorded 3+ rebounds and 3+ assists in eight consecutive appearances – longest active streak of any player in the league.
Nia Coffey has recorded seven games with 2+ assists and zero turnovers this season – equal-most of any player in the league.
Phoenix Mercury Player Facts
Alyssa Thomas ranks 1st amongst qualified players for assists per game (7.9) this season.
DeWanna Bonner ranks last amongst 47 qualified players for three-point field-goal percentage (24.0%) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
The Minnesota Lynx rank 1st for point differential per game this season (+9.1).
The Minnesota Lynx rank 1st for rebounds per game this season (36.5).
The Phoenix Mercury rank 1st for opponent free throw attempts per game this season (17.6).
The Phoenix Mercury rank 14th for second chance points (230) this season.
Phoenix Mercury vs. Minnesota Lynx Prediction
I’m on the Mercury and the points here. I get the case for the Lynx being favored here, but I have to think the Mercury want to show some pride here after getting blitzed last time out by the Aces and the Lynx haven’t been running away from teams like they were early on at one point. I think Phoenix competes here and at least keeps it within single digits. Give me the Mercury and the points.
