Phoenix Mercury vs Los Angeles Sparks Prediction 8/11/2026 Today’s WNBA Picks
Chris Ruffolo
Aug 5, 2026; Chicago, Illinois, USA; Los Angeles Sparks forward Nneka Ogwumike (30) looks on during the first half of a WNBA game against the Chicago Sky at Wintrust Arena. Mandatory Credit: Kamil Krzaczynski-Imagn Images
MATCHUP
Phoenix Mercury
Los Angeles Sparks
Team Records
12-22
12-19
Spread
+2.5 -108
-2.5 -112
Moneyline
+114
-135
Total
Over 177.5 (-112)
Under 177.5 (-108)
Where
crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles, CA
When
Tuesday, August 11, 2026
Time
10:00 PM EDT
TV
NBA TV
The Phoenix Mercury and the Los Angeles Sparks meet Tuesday in WNBA action from the Crypto.com Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Phoenix Mercury vs. Los Angeles Sparks prediction.
Matchup History
The Phoenix Mercury won the most recent meeting between these two teams back on July 22nd, 2026, by a final score of 86-82, snapping Los Angeles’ three-game win streak in this head-to-head matchup.
Phoenix Mercury Recap
The Phoenix Mercury come into this game looking to bounce back from their 95-75 loss at the hands of Washington last time out to sit at 12-22 this season. After this game, the Mercury will take on the Portland Fire in a game at home.
Mercury Lose 3 Straight
Kahleah Copper leads the Mercury in scoring with 20.9 PPG while Alyssa Thomas has 14.9 PPG with 7.1 RPG and a team-high 8.3 APG to lead the Mercury in assists this season. Jovana Nogic has 10.4 PPG and DeWanna Bonner has 10.2 PPG with 5.8 RPG to cap off the scoring in double figures for Phoenix up to this point in the year. Natasha Mack also has 8.8 PPG with 7.4 RPG as well this season to lead the Mercury in rebounding.
Los Angeles Sparks Recap
The Los Angeles Sparks come into this game looking to shake off an 84-78 loss at the hands of the Valkyries last time out to sit at 12-19 this season. After this game, the Sparks will head on the road for a game against the Liberty.
Sparks Alternate Wins & Losses In 5 Straight
Nneka Ogwumike has 17.3 PPG with 8.9 RPG. Dearica Hamby’s added 14.6 PPG with 7.5 RPG and 2.3 APG while Rae Burrell’s added 12.9 PPG to cap off the group of double-digit scorers for Los Angeles so far this season. Cameron Brink has 9.3 PPG with 4.3 RPG and Ariel Atkins also has 8.9 PPG with 2.9 RPG and 2.6 APG. Erica Wheeler also has 8.8 PPG with a team-high 5 APG to lead the Sparks in assists.
Phoenix Mercury @ Los Angeles Sparks Betting Trends: August 11, 2026
Why the Los Angeles Sparks will win
The Mercury have lost 12 of their last 13 games following a road loss.
The Sparks have won five of their last six night games against Western Conference opponents that held a losing record.
The Sparks have covered the spread in each of their last five games following a home loss.
The Mercury have failed to cover the spread in 11 of their last 13 night games against teams that held a losing record.
Why the Phoenix Mercury will win
The road team has won each of the last six games between the Sparks and Mercury.
The Sparks have lost eight of their last nine home games against Western Conference opponents.
The road team has covered the spread in each of the last nine games between the Sparks and Mercury.
The Sparks have failed to cover the spread in six of their last seven home games against Western Conference opponents that held a losing record.
Total Points Facts
Each of the Mercury’s last four games as underdogs following a road loss have gone OVER the total points line.
Each of the Sparks’ last four night games against the Mercury following a home loss have gone OVER the total points line.
Los Angeles Sparks Player Facts
Dearica Hamby has recorded at least 1 steal in 13 consecutive appearances – longest active streak of any player in the league.
Cameron Brink ranks 1st amongst qualified players for blocks per 36 minutes (3.2) this season.
Phoenix Mercury Player Facts
Alyssa Thomas ranks 1st amongst qualified players for assists per game (8.2) this season.
DeWanna Bonner ranks last amongst 50 qualified players for three-point field-goal percentage (25.0%) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
The Los Angeles Sparks rank 14th for opponent points per game this season (93.6).
The Los Angeles Sparks rank 14th for opponent assists per game this season (22.6).
The Phoenix Mercury rank 14th for field goal attempts per game this season (65.3).
The Phoenix Mercury have scored less than 80 points in 10 road games this season – most in the WNBA.
Phoenix Mercury vs. Los Angeles Sparks Prediction
I’m leaning towards the Sparks here. I think the disappointment for the Mercury is starting to set in that this team won’t be headed towards the playoffs even with the addition of Kelsey Plum, and this is a big time revenge matchup or motivation matchup for the Sparks against their former leader in Plum. The Sparks have been playing the better basketball as of late and I think LA picks up the win here. Give me Los Angeles.
