Phoenix Mercury vs Indiana Fever Prediction 6/22/2026 Today’s WNBA Picks
Chris Ruffolo
Phoenix Mercury Alyssa Thomas (25) talks to a teammate across the court during a game against the Seattle Storm at Mortgage Matchup Center in Phoenix, on June 20, 2026.
MATCHUP
Phoenix Mercury
Indiana Fever
Team Records
5-12
9-7
Spread
+6.5 -115
-6.5 -105
Moneyline
+195
-238
Total
Over 177.5 (-110)
Under 177.5 (-110)
Where
Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, IN
When
Monday, June 22, 2026
Time
08:00 PM EDT
TV
USA Net
The Phoenix Mercury and the Indiana Fever meet Monday in WNBA action from the Gainbridge Fieldhouse. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Phoenix Mercury vs. Indiana Fever prediction.
Matchup History
The Phoenix Mercury won the most recent meeting between these two teams by a final score of 85-79 back on September 2nd, 2025, making it back-to-back wins for the Mercury in this head-to-head matchup.
Phoenix Mercury Recap
The Phoenix Mercury come into this game looking to add on to their 93-73 win over Seattle last time out to sit at 5-12 this season. After this game, the Mercury will have a rematch with the Fever before heading on the road for a matchup with the Toronto Tempo.
Mercury Snap Four-Game Slide
Kahleah Copper leads the Mercury in scoring with 19.1 PPG while Alyssa Thomas has 13.8 PPG with 6.8 RPG and a team-high 8.4 APG to lead the Mercury in assists this season. Jovana Nogic has 10.4 PPG and Monique Akoa Makani has 10.3 PPG to cap off the scoring in double figures for Phoenix up to this point in the year. Natasha Mack also has 9.5 PPG with 8.4 RPG as well this season to lead the Mercury in rebounding.
Indiana Fever Recap
The Indiana Fever come into this game looking to shake off their 113-96 loss at the hands of the Atlanta Dream last time out to sit at 9-7 this season. After this game, the Fever will have their rematch with the Mercury before taking on the Los Angeles Sparks at home.
Fever Drop Back-To-Back Games
Kelsey Mitchell leads the Fever in scoring with 21.1 PPG along with 2.6 APG while Caitlin Clark has 20.8 PPG with 4.3 RPG and a team-high 8.1 APG to lead the Fever in assists. Aliyah Boston also has 17.2 PPG with 8.6 RPG and 3 APG and Sophie Cunningham has 10.4 PPG with 2.5 RPG to cap off the group of double-digit scorers for the Fever so far this season. Monique Billings also has 5.7 PPG with 4.7 RPG this season.
Phoenix Mercury @ Indiana Fever Betting Trends: June 22, 2026
Why the Indiana Fever will win
The Fever have won each of their last nine games against teams that held a losing record.
The Mercury have lost each of their last four games at Gainbridge Fieldhouse.
The favorites have covered the spread in each of the Fever’s last four games.
The Mercury have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six games following a home win.
Why the Phoenix Mercury will win
The Mercury have won each of their last six night games against Eastern Conference opponents that held a winning record.
The Fever have lost eight of their last 12 games as home favorites following a road loss.
The Fever have failed to cover the spread in nine of their last 10 night games against Mercury teams that held a losing record.
The Mercury have covered the spread in each of their last four games against Eastern Conference opponents that held a winning record.
Total Points Facts
Nine of the Mercury’s last 10 games at Gainbridge Fieldhouse have gone OVER the total points line.
Six of the last seven night games between the Fever and Mercury at Gainbridge Fieldhouse have gone OVER the total points line.
Indiana Fever Player Facts
Aliyah Boston has recorded 10+ points and 5+ rebounds in 12 consecutive appearances – equal-longest active streak of any player in the league.
Sophie Cunningham ranks 1st amongst qualified players for true shooting percentage (69.6%) this season.
Phoenix Mercury Player Facts
Alyssa Thomas ranks 1st amongst qualified players for assists per game (8.4) this season.
Kahleah Copper has made 2+ free throws in 15 consecutive appearances – equal-longest active streak of any player in the league.
Matchup/League Facts
The Indiana Fever rank 1st for points per game this season (92.4).
The Indiana Fever rank 1st for opponent three-point field goals made per game this season (7.0).
The Phoenix Mercury rank 1st for opponent free throw attempts per game this season (17.9).
The Phoenix Mercury rank 14th for field goals made per game this season (27.9).
Phoenix Mercury vs. Indiana Fever Prediction
I’m on the Fever here. One win over Seattle for me isn’t going to erase the problems that Phoenix have had for much of the season. Indiana got run over by the Dream offensively, but I just think Indiana’s offense ends up being too much for Phoenix to slow down in this game and I think Indiana bags the win and cover here.
