Phoenix Mercury vs Dallas Wings Prediction 9/19/2026 Today’s WNBA Picks
Chris Ruffolo
Sep 17, 2026; Arlington, Texas, USA; Dallas Wings guard Paige Bueckers (5) dribbles against the Los Angeles Sparks during the second half at College Park Center. Mandatory Credit: Chris Jones-Imagn Images
MATCHUP
Phoenix Mercury
Dallas Wings
Team Records
15-26
25-16
Spread
+10.5 -118
-10.5 -102
Moneyline
+370
-485
Total
Over 170.5 (-112)
Under 170.5 (-108)
Where
College Park Center, Arlington, TX
When
Saturday, September 19, 2026
Time
01:00 PM EDT
TV
CBS
The Phoenix Mercury and the Dallas Wings meet Saturday in WNBA action from the College Park Center. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Phoenix Mercury vs. Dallas Wings prediction.
Matchup History
The Dallas Wings won the most recent meeting between these two teams back on June 11th, 2026, by a final score of 85-70, making it back-to-back wins for the Wings in this head-to-head matchup.
Phoenix Mercury Recap
The Phoenix Mercury come into this game looking to add on to their 94-91 win over Portland last time out to sit at 15-26 this season. After this game, the Mercury will have a rematch with Dallas before taking on the Aces to close out the regular season.
Mercury Win Back-To-Back Games
Kahleah Copper leads the Mercury in scoring with 21.3 PPG while Alyssa Thomas has 14.2 PPG with a team-high 7.7 RPG and a team-high 8.4 APG to lead Phoenix in rebounding and assists so far this season. Two more Mercury players average double figures in scoring as well this season including DeWanna Bonner who has 10.6 PPG with 6.1 RPG, and Jovana Nogic who adds 10.4 PPG to cap off the group of double-digit scorers for Phoenix up to this point in the year. Natasha Mack has chipped in 8.4 PPG with 6.8 RPG as well for the Mercury this season.
Dallas Wings Recap
The Dallas Wings come into this game looking to add on to their 97-77 win over the Los Angeles Sparks last time out to sit at 25-16 this season. After this game, the Wings will have their rematch on the road against Phoenix before squaring off against Seattle to close out the regular season.
Wings Win 5 Straight
Paige Bueckers leads the Wings in scoring with 20.5 PPG along with 4.1 RPG and a team-high 5.9 APG so far this season. Three more Wings players average double figures in scoring as well this season including Arike Ogunbowale who has 15.2 PPG with 3.1 RPG and 3.2 APG, Jessica Shepard who has 14.4 PPG with 4.9 APG and a team-high 11.1 RPG on the glass, and Azzi Fudd who adds 13.1 PPG to round out the group of double-digit scorers for Dallas up to this point in the year.
Phoenix Mercury @ Dallas Wings Betting Trends: September 19, 2026
Why the Dallas Wings will win
The Wings have won each of their last 14 games against teams that held a losing record.
The Mercury have lost each of their last eight day games against teams that held a winning record.
The home team has covered the spread in each of the Wings’ last seven games.
The Mercury have failed to cover the spread in each of their last nine Saturday games against Western Conference opponents that held a winning record.
Why the Phoenix Mercury will win
The Mercury have won each of their last three games as underdogs against Western Conference opponents.
The Wings have lost five of their last six Saturday games as favorites.
The Wings have failed to cover the spread in 12 of their last 13 day games against Western Conference opponents.
The Mercury have covered the spread in each of their last four games as underdogs against Western Conference opponents.
Total Points Facts
Eight of the last nine games between the Wings and Mercury have gone OVER the total points line.
Four of the Mercury’s last five games at College Park Center have gone OVER the total points line.
Dallas Wings Player Facts
Awak Kuier ranks 1st amongst qualified players for blocks per 36 minutes (3.3) this season.
Jessica Shepard ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for rebounds per game (11.1) this season.
Phoenix Mercury Player Facts
Alyssa Thomas has recorded 5+ rebounds and 5+ assists in 17 consecutive appearances – longest active streak of any player in the league.
Natasha Mack is one of only seven players to have made 7+ field goals without a miss in a game this season.
Matchup/League Facts
The Dallas Wings rank T1st for assists per game this season (22.0).
The Dallas Wings rank 14th for opponent turnovers per game this season (12.7).
The Phoenix Mercury rank 14th for opponent three-point percentage this season (35.9%).
The Phoenix Mercury rank T14th for field goal attempts per game this season (65.4).
Phoenix Mercury vs. Dallas Wings Prediction
I’m on the Wings in this one. I get the case to be made for an underdog in spots, but the Wings have been drilling teams at home this season and as of late while the Mercury have picked up a couple of wins here and there but they’re just playing out the string at this point and I think that the Wings smash in this one. Give me Dallas.
