Dallas (6-13) vs Phoenix (12-6)
July 7, 2025 at 10:00 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Phoenix -6 — Over/Under: +164
The Dallas Wings and the Phoenix Mercury meet Monday in WNBA action from the PHX Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Dallas Wings vs. Phoenix Mercury prediction.
Matchup History
The Dallas Wings won the most recent matchup between these two teams back on July 3rd, 2025, by a final score of 98-89, snapping Phoenix’s four-game win streak in this head-to-head matchup.
Dallas Wings Recap
The Dallas Wings come into this game looking to build on their win in the first leg of the home-and-home against Phoenix by a final score of 98-89 as previously mentioned. After this game, the Wings will head on the road again for a matchup with the Chicago Sky.
Wings Win Back-To-Back Games & 5 Of Their Last 7
Paige Bueckers leads the Wings in scoring and assists with 18.7 PPG and 5.7 APG along with 4.4 RPG while Arike Ogunbowale has 16.8 PPG with 3.9 APG this season. DiJonai Carrington has 11.8 PPG with 5.1 RPG to cap off the group of double-digit scorers for Dallas so far this year. Maddy Siegrist has 9.4 PPG with 5.2 RPG while Myisha Hines-Allen has 6.7 PPG with 5.1 RPG and 2.8 APG to lead the Wings on the glass so far this season. As a team, Dallas is averaging 82.4 PPG on 41.9% shooting from the field, 31.3% from three and 81.4% from the foul line this season.
Phoenix Mercury Recap
The Phoenix Mercury come into this game looking to rebound from their loss at the hands of the Dallas Wings last time out to sit at 12-6 on the year. After this game, the Mercury will square off against the Minnesota Lynx at home.
Mercury Drop Back-To-Back Games
Satou Sabally leads the Mercury in scoring with 19.1 PPG along with 7.7 RPG, 2.6 APG and 1.4 SPG while Alyssa Thomas has 14.3 PPG with 7.3 RPG and 9.4 APG and Kahleah Copper has 16.7 PPG to cap off the double-digit scorers for Phoenix so far this season. Lexi Held’s added 8.7 PPG while Monique Akoa Makani has 8.6 PPG. Kitija Laksa has 8.8 PPG as well on the year. Sami Whitcomb also has 9.6 PPG with 3.4 RPG and 2.4 APG this season. As a team, Phoenix is averaging 83.9 PPG on 43.1% shooting from the field, 34.8% from three-point range and 79.6% from the foul line so far this season.
Dallas Wings vs. Phoenix Mercury Prediction
I’m on the under here. I also lean towards the Wings but I think the under is the better play just because of how much star power this game is missing. Arike Ogunbowale, DiJonai Carrington and Maddy Siegrist are all listed as out for this game for Dallas while Satou Sabally, Kahleah Copper and Lexi Held are all ruled out for the Mercury. I mean Sabally and Copper accounted for 55 of Phoenix’s 89 points in that last loss to Dallas so I have to imagine there’s a drop off here, and there’s also only so much Paige Bueckers can do on her own on the other side. I think this ends up being lower-scoring, so give me the under here.