New York Liberty vs Portland Fire Prediction 5/12/2026 Today’s WNBA Picks
Chris Ruffolo
May 10, 2026; Washington, District of Columbia, USA; New York Liberty center Jonquel Jones (35) drives to the basket as Washington Mystics center Lauren Betts (51) and Mystics forward Angela Dugalic (32) defend in the second half at CareFirst Arena. Mandatory Credit: Geoff Burke-Imagn Images
MATCHUP
New York Liberty
Portland Fire
Team Records
2-0
0-1
Spread
-12.5 -110
+12.5 -110
Moneyline
-900
+600
Total
Over 173.5 (-112)
Under 173.5 (-108)
Where
Moda Center, Portland, OR
When
Tuesday, May 12, 2026
Time
10:00 PM EDT
TV
WNBA League Pass
The New York Liberty and the Portland Fire meet Tuesday in WNBA action from the Moda Center. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a New York Liberty vs. Portland Fire prediction.
New York Liberty Recap
The New York Liberty come into this game looking to add on to their 98-93 win over Washington last time out to sit at 2-0 on the year. After this game, the Liberty will finish the back-to-back with Portland before heading home for a game against the Valkyries.
Liberty Looking To Stay Unbeaten
Breanna Stewart has 27 PPG along with 9.5 RPG while Marine Johanes has 21 PPG and 3 RPG and 2.5 APG. Jonquel Jones has 11.5 PPG with 6.5 RPG and Pauline Astier has 11.5 PPG with 3.5 RPG and 5.5 APG to cap off the scoring in double figures for the Liberty this season. Rebekah Gardner has 9 PPG with 3.5 RPG as well this season.
Portland Fire Recap
The Portland Fire come into this game looking to bounce back from their 98-83 loss at the hands of Chicago last time out to sit at 0-1 on the year. After their rematch with the Liberty, Portland will take on the Connecticut Sun at home.
Fire Looking To Get Into Win Column With Upset
Carla Leite had 18 points with an 11 of 12 mark from the foul line while Bridget Carleton chipped in 13 points on 4 of 10 shooting with 3 threes and 4 assists. Sarah Ashlee Barker added 11 points on 6 of 9 shooting with 4 rebounds while Megan Gustafson added 10 points on 4 of 6 shooting with a pair of threes to cap off the scoring in double figures for the Fire in the loss. Luisa Geiselsoder added 8 points with a team-high 7 rebounds and Jordan Harrison added 4 assists of her own in the loss.
New York Liberty @ Portland Fire Betting Trends: May 12, 2026
Why the Portland Fire will win
The Liberty have lost four of their last five night games against Western Conference opponents.
The Liberty have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight road games against teams that held a losing record.
Why the New York Liberty will win
The Liberty have won each of their last 12 Tuesday games against teams that held a losing record.
The Liberty have covered the spread in each of their last four games as road favorites after coming off overtime.
Total Points Facts
Each of the Liberty’s last eight games as favorites following a road win have gone UNDER the total points line.
Portland Fire Player Facts
Luisa Geiselsoder was one of only three players to have made 6+ field goals without a miss in a game last season.
Bridget Carleton ranked 4th in the league for plus minus (+302) last season.
New York Liberty Player Facts
Breanna Stewart scored 20+ points in three consecutive appearances – longest active streak of any player in the league.
Marine Johannes has hit 5+ three-pointers in two consecutive appearances – longest active streak of any player in the league.
Matchup/League Facts
The New York Liberty ranked 1st for opponent three-point percentage last season (31.5%).
The New York Liberty ranked 1st for free throw percentage last season (83.7%).
New York Liberty vs. Portland Fire Prediction
I’m on the Liberty here. The Liberty had their close call against Washington, but when you zoom out on the situation at hand here, there’s just a clear disparity in terms of talent level and cohesion between these two teams. I still feel like the Fire are going to be one of the worst teams in the W this season and I’ve said it before and stand by it that I think the Liberty once healthy can make a strong case for the best team in the WNBA. I’m looking for a strong showing from New York on the road so give me the Liberty.
